akashic
1876–2024
Erie·Pennsylvania

Erie delivered R+13 in 2024.

A mid-sized rust-belt market where margins routinely decide statewide outcomes

1876 — 2024·38 elections
PA
LatestR+13in 2024
TypologyFarm Beltcluster typology
Population389,6882024 ACS

Erie, Pennsylvania: Farm Belt market. In 2024, voted R+13%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+13MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Farm BeltAkashic typology
Population
389,6882024 5-year
Median household income
$62,4632024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.1%2024 5-year
Black
5.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+36 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+50 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Erie
TrumpR+13
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Erie, PAA map of the constituent counties of Erie, PA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Crawford County, PA · R+39Warren County, PA · R+39Erie County, PA · R+1
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican56.0%112,896
Kamala HarrisDemocratic42.9%86,526
OtherAll other candidates1.2%2,348
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −13.1% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−13.1%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−8.5%
1896−8.3%
1900−18.9%
1904−36.7%
1908−22.3%
1912+5.8%
1916+0.6%
1920−42.0%
1924−49.6%
1928−34.6%
1932−3.9%
1936+4.3%
1940−14.1%
1944−12.3%
1948−15.0%
1952−21.8%
1956−28.3%
1960−6.2%
1964+35.7%
1968+1.6%
1972−22.5%
1976+2.6%
1980−7.6%
1984−9.6%
1988−0.5%
1992+9.5%
1996+10.3%
2000+1.8%
2004+0.9%
2008+11.0%
2012+5.2%
2016−12.8%
2020−11.2%
2024−13.1%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−13.1%
86,526112,896201,770
R
−11.2%
87,276109,665199,737
R
−12.8%
74,22897,533181,548
D
+5.2%
88,91479,936171,988
D
+11.0%
101,09280,786184,342
D
+0.9%
91,97890,336183,493
D
+1.8%
80,18677,175163,215
D
+10.3%
77,74261,599157,304
D
+9.5%
76,16659,980170,858
R
−0.5%
73,72474,546149,923
R
−9.6%
71,50786,879159,682
R
−7.6%
63,28474,635150,045
D
+2.6%
77,50973,450154,219
R
−22.5%
56,27089,953149,449
D
+1.6%
69,31767,014144,041
D
+35.7%
101,75448,022150,534
R
−6.2%
72,29881,890154,644
R
−28.3%
47,61185,462133,543
R
−21.8%
50,93579,470131,130
R
−15.0%
41,43656,34599,394
R
−12.3%
46,56859,728107,022
R
−14.1%
47,75763,515111,869
D
+4.3%
54,32549,510112,311
R
−3.9%
34,22837,16175,306
R
−34.6%
28,83159,69189,142
R
−49.6%
8,63238,90061,075
R
−42.0%
12,66637,28858,642
D
+0.6%
18,08317,83340,191
O
+5.8%
11,2279,01937,813
R
−22.3%
13,89523,17941,556
R
−36.7%
9,98624,13838,546
R
−18.9%
16,78125,13044,270
R
−8.3%
20,64124,51646,458
R
−8.5%
16,49019,90840,439
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
23.2%
Irish
13.6%
English
9.7%
Italian
9.5%
Polish
8.3%
American
4.9%
Scottish
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.4%
2.8%
75–84
3.4%
6.0%
65–74
6.4%
6.9%
55–64
7.0%
5.8%
45–54
5.9%
5.9%
35–44
5.8%
6.1%
25–34
5.9%
4.9%
18–24
4.5%
7.9%
5–17
7.5%
2.6%
<5
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$62,463
Erie ranks near the middle of US counties.
Erie$62,463
Pennsylvania$77,971
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.4%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.7%
Working age (18–64)13.1%
Seniors (65+)12.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.7%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.2%
Spanish1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
15.2%
Other Christian
8.5%
Methodist
5.4%
Mainline Protestant
4.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.6%
Baptist
1.9%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Erie's media market spans northwestern Pennsylvania into Ohio and New York, and its blue-collar electorate has swung between parties by single digits in consecutive cycles, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide Pennsylvania results.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-six points in 1964 and a Republican high of fifty points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirteen points.

A population of 389,688, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,463 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Erie, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/516/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Erie, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Erie, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 13.1 points (R+13), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 201,770 votes cast, 86,526 went Democratic and 112,896 went Republican.
What is Erie, Pennsylvania's political typology?
Akashic places Erie, Pennsylvania in the "Farm Belt" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 22 times, and other 1 times.
When did Erie, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Erie, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Erie, Pennsylvania?
Erie, Pennsylvania has a population of 389,688 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Erie, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Erie, Pennsylvania is $62,463 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Erie, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Erie, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The market's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.