akashic
1876–2024
Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn·Florida

Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn moved 8 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

Florida's most contested media market spans three distinct political zones

18762024·38 elections
FL
LatestR+11in 2024
TypologyTexan Rightcluster typology
Population4,676,1622024 ACS

Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida: Texan Right market. In 2024, voted R+11%. Democratic peak: D+80 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+11MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Texan RightAkashic typology
Population
4,676,1622024 5-year
Median household income
$75,9842024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
58.0%2024 5-year
Black
13.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
25.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+80 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+56 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn
TrumpR+11
2024 presidential margin by county for Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, FLA map of the constituent counties of Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, FL, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Lake County, FL · R+25Seminole County, FL · R+4Brevard County, FL · R+21Marion County, FL · R+32Flagler County, FL · R+28Sumter County, FL · R+38Osceola County, FL · R+1Orange County, FL · D+14Volusia County, FL · R+22
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican55.0%1,282,576
Kamala HarrisDemocratic44.0%1,024,654
OtherAll other candidates1.0%23,879
D+60
R+60
9 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −11.1% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−11.1%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884+10.8%
1888No data
1892+79.8%
1896+32.8%
1900+49.7%
1904+51.0%
1908+32.6%
1912+56.8%
1916+39.7%
1920+21.2%
1924+21.2%
1928−30.0%
1932+31.5%
1936+34.0%
1940+31.1%
1944+24.3%
1948+5.1%
1952−27.9%
1956−32.4%
1960−25.6%
1964−3.1%
1968−19.4%
1972−56.1%
1976−1.6%
1980−23.5%
1984−41.0%
1988−33.8%
1992−8.6%
1996−1.1%
2000−3.3%
2004−9.0%
2008+1.9%
2012−1.0%
2016−2.9%
2020−2.8%
2024−11.1%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−11.1%
1,024,6541,282,5762,331,109
R
−2.8%
1,119,8281,185,3122,328,748
R
−2.9%
919,579976,4161,966,328
R
−1.0%
846,451864,2151,727,042
D
+1.9%
863,889830,7621,707,806
R
−9.0%
670,440803,9251,484,793
R
−3.3%
527,083564,0801,116,771
R
−1.1%
415,234426,006947,385
R
−8.6%
325,416405,668936,657
R
−33.8%
230,538469,310705,920
R
−41.0%
188,883451,797640,979
R
−23.5%
191,744317,536535,368
R
−1.6%
218,665225,774450,943
R
−56.1%
82,509294,611378,139
R
−19.4%
86,081151,516336,437
R
−3.1%
130,722139,142269,864
R
−25.6%
76,598129,391205,989
R
−32.4%
51,456100,841152,297
R
−27.9%
45,64281,032126,674
D
+5.1%
35,13931,10378,668
D
+24.3%
39,75424,23363,987
D
+31.1%
45,38923,83369,222
D
+34.0%
32,68016,10748,787
D
+31.5%
26,80413,95640,760
R
−30.0%
13,50125,33739,499
D
+21.2%
10,2186,25018,686
D
+21.2%
13,1888,34222,829
D
+39.7%
7,6702,94511,904
D
+56.8%
5,2458547,734
D
+32.6%
4,3571,9797,300
D
+51.0%
4,2881,2076,041
D
+49.7%
4,3581,2806,192
D
+32.8%
5,2422,5268,278
D
+79.8%
5,34906,702
No data
D
+10.8%
5,6704,56410,234
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
9.7%
Irish
9.0%
English
9.0%
American
8.3%
Italian
5.7%
Polish
2.2%
French
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
73.5%
speak English only
Spanish19.1%
Other Indo-European4.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
16.7%
Other Christian
14.1%
Baptist
5.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.0%
Methodist
2.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Non-Christian
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by a Democratic-leaning urban core in Orange County, a Republican-heavy coast around Volusia and Brevard, and a growing I-4 corridor that has decided statewide races by razor-thin margins.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of eighty points in 1892 and a Republican high of fifty-six points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eleven points.

A population of 4,676,162, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,984 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/534/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida voted Republican by 11.1 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,331,109 votes cast, 1,024,654 went Democratic and 1,282,576 went Republican.
What is Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida's political typology?
Akashic places Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida in the "Texan Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida?
Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida has a population of 4,676,162 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida?
Median household income in Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida is $75,984 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The market's typology — "Texan Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.