Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri: Florida Surge market. In 2024, voted R+41%. Republican peak: R+41 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+41MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 127,1522024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,7722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41 in 2024MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Ottumwa-Kirksville
TrumpR+41
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 69.6% | 39,896 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 29.0% | 16,602 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.5% | 848 |
D+60R+60
10 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −4.0% |
| 1896 | +1.3% |
| 1900 | −4.4% |
| 1904 | −16.5% |
| 1908 | −5.9% |
| 1912 | +8.7% |
| 1916 | −1.6% |
| 1920 | −26.1% |
| 1924 | −20.0% |
| 1928 | −23.6% |
| 1932 | +18.6% |
| 1936 | +5.7% |
| 1940 | −2.5% |
| 1944 | −4.2% |
| 1948 | +5.6% |
| 1952 | −17.2% |
| 1956 | −9.4% |
| 1960 | −12.9% |
| 1964 | +26.8% |
| 1968 | −8.8% |
| 1972 | −22.8% |
| 1976 | +5.6% |
| 1980 | −9.9% |
| 1984 | −8.4% |
| 1988 | +3.5% |
| 1992 | +9.7% |
| 1996 | +8.0% |
| 2000 | −8.9% |
| 2004 | −6.6% |
| 2008 | −1.6% |
| 2012 | −8.2% |
| 2016 | −32.3% |
| 2020 | −34.4% |
| 2024 | −40.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 16,602 | 39,896 | 57,346 | ||
| R | 19,000 | 39,463 | 59,478 | ||
| R | 17,772 | 36,391 | 57,635 | ||
| R | 25,746 | 30,482 | 57,707 | ||
| R | 29,071 | 30,065 | 60,619 | ||
| R | 28,380 | 32,466 | 61,478 | ||
| R | 24,700 | 29,779 | 57,316 | ||
| D | 25,948 | 21,480 | 55,516 | ||
| D | 26,438 | 20,561 | 60,582 | ||
| D | 28,910 | 26,919 | 56,218 | ||
| R | 28,252 | 33,472 | 61,982 | ||
| R | 26,594 | 32,774 | 62,694 | ||
| D | 32,115 | 28,640 | 61,539 | ||
| R | 23,333 | 37,319 | 61,474 | ||
| R | 26,296 | 31,841 | 62,769 | ||
| D | 41,066 | 23,699 | 64,856 | ||
| R | 32,136 | 41,620 | 73,781 | ||
| R | 33,463 | 40,384 | 73,886 | ||
| R | 32,658 | 46,258 | 79,232 | ||
| D | 37,351 | 33,325 | 71,296 | ||
| R | 35,143 | 38,239 | 73,706 | ||
| R | 41,889 | 44,054 | 86,286 | ||
| D | 43,096 | 38,391 | 82,405 | ||
| D | 42,056 | 28,672 | 71,785 | ||
| R | 28,664 | 46,515 | 75,592 | ||
| R | 25,412 | 40,680 | 76,443 | ||
| R | 26,483 | 45,821 | 74,139 | ||
| R | 21,768 | 22,514 | 46,110 | ||
| D | 18,657 | 14,819 | 43,981 | ||
| R | 20,664 | 23,387 | 46,044 | ||
| R | 17,600 | 25,006 | 44,989 | ||
| R | 22,565 | 24,729 | 48,630 | ||
| D | 24,536 | 23,894 | 48,941 | ||
| R | 18,376 | 20,092 | 42,817 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
19.4%
English
12.6%
Irish
9.6%
American
7.7%
Scottish
1.8%
Italian
1.5%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$63,772
Ottumwa-Kirksville ranks near the middle of US counties.
Ottumwa-Kirksville$63,772
Missouri$70,702
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.9%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.4%
Working age (18–64)15.0%
Seniors (65+)13.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
87.6%
speak English only
Other Indo-European4.9%
Spanish4.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
This mid-Missouri and southeast-Iowa media market ties together small industrial cities like Ottumwa and Kirksville across a rural landscape where ag-economy pressures and population decline have steadily shifted the electorate toward wide Republican margins over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty-seven points in 1964 and a Republican high of forty-one points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-one points.
A population of 127,152, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,772 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/631/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri voted Republican by 40.6 points (R+41), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 57,346 votes cast, 16,602 went Democratic and 39,896 went Republican.
What is Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri's political typology?
Akashic places Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri in the "Florida Surge" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 24 times, and other 0 times.
When did Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri?
Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri has a population of 127,152 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri?
Median household income in Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri is $63,772 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The market's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.