akashic
1876–2024
Rochester, NY·New York

Rochester, NY delivered D+10 in 2024.

A mid-size upstate market where city-suburban splits drive Monroe County's swing potential.

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NY
LatestD+10in 2024
TypologyIndustrial Catholic Metrocluster typology
Population1,043,3312024 ACS

Rochester, NY, New York: Industrial Catholic Metro market. In 2024, voted D+10%. Republican peak: R+41 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+10MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population
1,043,3312024 5-year
Median household income
$76,5632024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
75.0%2024 5-year
Black
10.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+40 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+41 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Rochester, NY
HarrisD+10
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Rochester, NY, NYA map of the constituent counties of Rochester, NY, NY, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Yates County, NY · R+16Ontario County, NY · R+1Wayne County, NY · R+23Monroe County, NY · D+19Livingston County, NY · R+21
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic54.3%277,882
Donald TrumpRepublican44.6%228,325
OtherAll other candidates1.0%5,238
D+60
R+60
5 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +9.7% in 2024.flipped D · 2008+9.7%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−11.5%
1896−20.4%
1900−17.1%
1904−27.4%
1908−20.3%
1912−1.0%
1916−24.5%
1920−41.1%
1924−40.0%
1928−23.1%
1932−13.5%
1936−3.3%
1940−8.3%
1944−6.3%
1948−8.1%
1952−25.4%
1956−38.8%
1960−9.6%
1964+40.0%
1968−6.2%
1972−28.4%
1976−13.5%
1980+0.8%
1984−21.2%
1988−4.8%
1992−1.3%
1996+12.0%
2000+0.7%
2004−3.0%
2008+11.5%
2012+11.6%
2016+6.2%
2020+12.1%
2024+9.7%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+9.7%
277,882228,325511,445
D
+12.1%
288,647225,037525,835
D
+6.2%
238,654208,941480,101
D
+11.6%
249,416196,488455,425
D
+11.5%
269,203212,971488,918
R
−3.0%
226,081240,291475,053
D
+0.7%
210,919207,661439,385
D
+12.0%
214,093163,674421,895
R
−1.3%
181,322187,523461,470
R
−4.8%
196,963217,156417,574
R
−21.2%
164,722254,130420,776
D
+0.8%
181,348178,036405,589
R
−13.5%
173,376227,585402,993
R
−28.4%
148,235266,311415,466
R
−6.2%
171,210194,958382,172
D
+40.0%
262,341112,327374,990
R
−9.6%
173,279209,940383,418
R
−38.8%
111,385252,437363,822
R
−25.4%
133,828225,115359,570
R
−8.1%
134,691159,238302,738
R
−6.3%
144,464163,828309,319
R
−8.3%
145,648172,224319,232
R
−3.3%
138,517148,018291,505
R
−13.5%
108,531143,781260,427
R
−23.1%
95,083154,777258,013
R
−40.0%
44,124126,754206,344
R
−41.1%
43,632115,629175,284
R
−24.5%
37,13962,500103,556
R
−1.0%
31,19032,06891,025
R
−20.3%
38,08658,478100,379
R
−27.4%
30,97156,30192,380
R
−17.1%
35,80151,39390,998
R
−20.4%
33,08450,66486,274
R
−11.5%
33,08342,39481,164
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
17.3%
Italian
15.1%
Irish
14.7%
English
12.4%
American
4.3%
Polish
4.3%
French
2.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.6%
2.5%
75–84
3.2%
5.4%
65–74
6.0%
6.8%
55–64
7.2%
5.6%
45–54
5.9%
6.0%
35–44
6.2%
6.5%
25–34
6.5%
4.8%
18–24
4.8%
7.7%
5–17
7.3%
2.6%
<5
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$76,563
Rochester, NY ranks near the middle of US counties.
Rochester, NY$76,563
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.1%
Working age (18–64)11.8%
Seniors (65+)10.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
88.9%
speak English only
Spanish4.9%
Other Indo-European3.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.6%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
26.6%
Other Christian
7.2%
Non-Christian
4.1%
Mainline Protestant
3.6%
Methodist
2.8%
Baptist
1.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Rochester's media market anchors Monroe County, a bellwether that has tracked closely with statewide margins while its urban core and outer-ring suburbs increasingly diverge in turnout patterns and party preference.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty points in 1964 and a Republican high of forty-one points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was ten points.

A population of 1,043,331, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,563 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Rochester, NY, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/538/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Rochester, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Rochester, NY, New York voted Democratic by 9.7 points (D+10), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 511,445 votes cast, 277,882 went Democratic and 228,325 went Republican.
What is Rochester, NY, New York's political typology?
Akashic places Rochester, NY, New York in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 25 times, and other 0 times.
When did Rochester, NY, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Rochester, NY, New York voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Rochester, NY, New York?
Rochester, NY, New York has a population of 1,043,331 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Rochester, NY, New York?
Median household income in Rochester, NY, New York is $76,563 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Rochester, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Rochester, NY, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The market's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.