Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia: Industrial Catholic Metro market. In 2024, voted R+28%. Republican peak: R+46 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,142,8742024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,8492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Roanoke-Lynchburg
TrumpR+28
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 63.1% | 382,057 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 35.5% | 214,836 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.4% | 8,341 |
D+60R+60
36 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +17.7% |
| 1896 | +4.3% |
| 1900 | +5.7% |
| 1904 | +17.4% |
| 1908 | +10.8% |
| 1912 | +38.7% |
| 1916 | +27.0% |
| 1920 | +16.4% |
| 1924 | +24.3% |
| 1928 | −11.0% |
| 1932 | +35.6% |
| 1936 | +30.6% |
| 1940 | +32.5% |
| 1944 | +21.5% |
| 1948 | +2.6% |
| 1952 | −16.4% |
| 1956 | −20.8% |
| 1960 | −10.9% |
| 1964 | −3.5% |
| 1968 | −19.8% |
| 1972 | −46.1% |
| 1976 | +1.2% |
| 1980 | −9.6% |
| 1984 | −28.9% |
| 1988 | −19.9% |
| 1992 | −6.8% |
| 1996 | −4.6% |
| 2000 | −17.0% |
| 2004 | −20.9% |
| 2008 | −12.4% |
| 2012 | −17.1% |
| 2016 | −25.7% |
| 2020 | −24.1% |
| 2024 | −27.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 214,836 | 382,057 | 605,234 | ||
| R | 221,321 | 365,309 | 597,293 | ||
| R | 188,949 | 328,884 | 545,455 | ||
| R | 215,201 | 306,212 | 532,783 | ||
| R | 228,112 | 293,728 | 528,635 | ||
| R | 184,432 | 283,347 | 472,551 | ||
| R | 168,461 | 240,124 | 420,978 | ||
| R | 167,077 | 184,954 | 391,369 | ||
| R | 163,235 | 191,366 | 412,006 | ||
| R | 145,749 | 219,571 | 370,039 | ||
| R | 135,297 | 246,808 | 385,238 | ||
| R | 149,843 | 183,306 | 348,961 | ||
| D | 158,580 | 154,779 | 322,178 | ||
| R | 84,040 | 234,367 | 325,845 | ||
| R | 74,363 | 131,280 | 286,785 | ||
| R | 128,945 | 138,386 | 267,893 | ||
| R | 76,721 | 95,706 | 173,424 | ||
| R | 62,107 | 96,708 | 166,041 | ||
| R | 65,430 | 91,131 | 157,011 | ||
| D | 49,295 | 46,386 | 111,330 | ||
| D | 64,819 | 41,817 | 106,865 | ||
| D | 67,594 | 34,346 | 102,297 | ||
| D | 68,537 | 36,333 | 105,212 | ||
| D | 60,022 | 28,242 | 89,395 | ||
| R | 40,561 | 50,573 | 91,160 | ||
| D | 42,650 | 25,398 | 71,066 | ||
| D | 42,415 | 30,390 | 73,332 | ||
| D | 31,168 | 17,749 | 49,652 | ||
| D | 25,565 | 8,660 | 43,639 | ||
| D | 24,244 | 19,459 | 44,177 | ||
| D | 24,127 | 16,870 | 41,807 | ||
| D | 39,244 | 34,972 | 75,093 | ||
| D | 44,536 | 40,849 | 86,638 | ||
| D | 46,081 | 31,297 | 83,306 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
16.6%
English
14.3%
German
9.5%
Irish
8.5%
Italian
2.3%
Scottish
2.0%
Polish
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$63,849
Roanoke-Lynchburg ranks near the middle of US counties.
Roanoke-Lynchburg$63,849
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.8%
Working age (18–64)14.3%
Seniors (65+)12.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.3%
speak English only
Spanish2.9%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
The Roanoke-Lynchburg market spans the Blue Ridge Mountains and Piedmont foothills, blending mid-size urban centers with deeply rural counties that have shifted reliably toward Republican margins at the federal level since the 1990s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-nine points in 1912 and a Republican high of forty-six points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-eight points.
A population of 1,142,874, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,849 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/573/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia voted Republican by 27.6 points (R+28), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 605,234 votes cast, 214,836 went Democratic and 382,057 went Republican.
What is Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia?
Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia has a population of 1,142,874 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia?
Median household income in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia is $63,849 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The market's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.