Dayton, Ohio: Stable Rural Right market. In 2024, voted R+25%. Republican peak: R+33 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,285,3002024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,1482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33 in 1928MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Dayton
TrumpR+25
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 61.5% | 392,917 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 37.0% | 236,098 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.5% | 9,849 |
D+60R+60
11 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −2.6% |
| 1896 | −5.0% |
| 1900 | −8.1% |
| 1904 | −22.1% |
| 1908 | −3.7% |
| 1912 | +10.6% |
| 1916 | +4.5% |
| 1920 | −14.7% |
| 1924 | −29.2% |
| 1928 | −33.5% |
| 1932 | +3.4% |
| 1936 | +16.9% |
| 1940 | +5.0% |
| 1944 | −2.1% |
| 1948 | +1.1% |
| 1952 | −17.2% |
| 1956 | −24.2% |
| 1960 | −14.1% |
| 1964 | +23.1% |
| 1968 | −3.0% |
| 1972 | −27.3% |
| 1976 | −3.6% |
| 1980 | −8.8% |
| 1984 | −29.2% |
| 1988 | −23.9% |
| 1992 | −5.5% |
| 1996 | +0.8% |
| 2000 | −10.5% |
| 2004 | −13.5% |
| 2008 | −9.2% |
| 2012 | −12.7% |
| 2016 | −22.5% |
| 2020 | −22.1% |
| 2024 | −24.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 236,098 | 392,917 | 638,864 | ||
| R | 246,961 | 390,529 | 648,313 | ||
| R | 221,392 | 360,903 | 621,036 | ||
| R | 265,897 | 345,431 | 626,919 | ||
| R | 286,779 | 346,089 | 644,347 | ||
| R | 276,010 | 362,361 | 641,449 | ||
| R | 231,318 | 287,731 | 535,274 | ||
| D | 235,784 | 231,497 | 524,565 | ||
| R | 210,163 | 241,401 | 571,231 | ||
| R | 188,943 | 308,725 | 501,549 | ||
| R | 178,195 | 327,066 | 509,027 | ||
| R | 203,710 | 246,404 | 485,509 | ||
| R | 217,814 | 234,490 | 463,089 | ||
| R | 159,405 | 283,855 | 455,068 | ||
| R | 192,824 | 206,691 | 456,104 | ||
| D | 272,546 | 170,243 | 442,902 | ||
| R | 197,044 | 261,550 | 458,689 | ||
| R | 153,953 | 252,258 | 406,355 | ||
| R | 163,897 | 231,916 | 396,106 | ||
| D | 159,927 | 156,402 | 318,615 | ||
| R | 168,370 | 175,486 | 344,188 | ||
| D | 185,676 | 167,998 | 353,847 | ||
| D | 183,609 | 128,430 | 327,397 | ||
| D | 146,326 | 136,334 | 291,306 | ||
| R | 92,724 | 186,789 | 281,159 | ||
| R | 72,328 | 139,716 | 231,065 | ||
| R | 105,754 | 143,475 | 256,612 | ||
| D | 70,687 | 64,400 | 141,242 | ||
| D | 51,256 | 37,633 | 127,964 | ||
| R | 64,168 | 69,350 | 139,006 | ||
| R | 45,933 | 73,671 | 125,240 | ||
| R | 58,018 | 68,436 | 129,144 | ||
| R | 59,103 | 65,387 | 125,874 | ||
| R | 49,431 | 52,231 | 107,854 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
23.5%
English
12.5%
Irish
11.9%
American
6.8%
Italian
3.0%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$70,148
Dayton ranks near the middle of US counties.
Dayton$70,148
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.9%
Working age (18–64)11.8%
Seniors (65+)9.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.8%
speak English only
Spanish2.0%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
The Dayton media market spans a swath of southwest Ohio where urban, suburban, and rural precincts often split sharply, making aggregate results here a reliable early signal for statewide margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty-three points in 1964 and a Republican high of thirty-three points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-five points.
A population of 1,285,300, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,148 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dayton, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/542/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Dayton, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dayton, Ohio voted Republican by 24.5 points (R+25), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 638,864 votes cast, 236,098 went Democratic and 392,917 went Republican.
What is Dayton, Ohio's political typology?
Akashic places Dayton, Ohio in the "Stable Rural Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 26 times, and other 0 times.
When did Dayton, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dayton, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Dayton, Ohio?
Dayton, Ohio has a population of 1,285,300 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dayton, Ohio?
Median household income in Dayton, Ohio is $70,148 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Dayton, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dayton, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican. The market's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.