Davenport-R.Island-Moline, Illinois: Heartland Swing market. In 2024, voted R+12%. Republican peak: R+52 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 755,8152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,8972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+16 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Davenport-R.Island-Moline
TrumpR+12
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 54.8% | 203,383 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 43.3% | 160,580 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.9% | 7,095 |
D+60R+60
17 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −2.8% |
| 1896 | −20.6% |
| 1900 | −21.4% |
| 1904 | −35.4% |
| 1908 | −20.1% |
| 1912 | +13.2% |
| 1916 | −22.2% |
| 1920 | −52.1% |
| 1924 | −46.5% |
| 1928 | −33.0% |
| 1932 | +5.2% |
| 1936 | +4.8% |
| 1940 | −11.5% |
| 1944 | −14.3% |
| 1948 | −12.4% |
| 1952 | −28.2% |
| 1956 | −25.2% |
| 1960 | −14.1% |
| 1964 | +16.2% |
| 1968 | −10.4% |
| 1972 | −20.8% |
| 1976 | −5.9% |
| 1980 | −16.9% |
| 1984 | −9.0% |
| 1988 | +6.2% |
| 1992 | +11.1% |
| 1996 | +14.9% |
| 2000 | +8.2% |
| 2004 | +4.9% |
| 2008 | +16.3% |
| 2012 | +13.7% |
| 2016 | −5.9% |
| 2020 | −6.3% |
| 2024 | −11.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 160,580 | 203,383 | 371,058 | ||
| R | 176,560 | 201,015 | 386,201 | ||
| R | 157,942 | 179,618 | 366,529 | ||
| D | 209,591 | 158,280 | 374,701 | ||
| D | 216,135 | 154,765 | 376,339 | ||
| D | 196,424 | 178,110 | 377,380 | ||
| D | 179,430 | 151,564 | 341,242 | ||
| D | 168,000 | 119,948 | 321,456 | ||
| D | 171,357 | 130,532 | 366,386 | ||
| D | 176,741 | 155,938 | 334,999 | ||
| R | 166,733 | 199,765 | 368,777 | ||
| R | 132,471 | 192,750 | 356,796 | ||
| R | 163,353 | 184,021 | 352,753 | ||
| R | 133,974 | 205,118 | 342,450 | ||
| R | 137,331 | 172,106 | 333,479 | ||
| D | 190,381 | 137,377 | 327,973 | ||
| R | 148,038 | 196,866 | 345,333 | ||
| R | 121,592 | 203,723 | 326,053 | ||
| R | 119,179 | 213,382 | 333,815 | ||
| R | 116,246 | 149,620 | 268,822 | ||
| R | 124,233 | 165,894 | 291,350 | ||
| R | 145,041 | 182,994 | 329,438 | ||
| D | 155,429 | 140,913 | 304,571 | ||
| D | 143,759 | 129,162 | 279,092 | ||
| R | 87,001 | 173,634 | 262,344 | ||
| R | 36,242 | 148,662 | 241,763 | ||
| R | 40,824 | 151,574 | 212,760 | ||
| R | 68,206 | 109,997 | 188,472 | ||
| O | 41,330 | 24,878 | 124,676 | ||
| R | 46,697 | 72,491 | 128,263 | ||
| R | 33,808 | 77,565 | 123,770 | ||
| R | 49,349 | 77,539 | 131,540 | ||
| R | 49,589 | 76,111 | 128,609 | ||
| R | 50,627 | 53,654 | 109,859 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
26.4%
Irish
13.2%
English
10.1%
American
4.8%
Italian
2.4%
Polish
1.7%
Scottish
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$69,897
Davenport-R.Island-Moline ranks near the middle of US counties.
Davenport-R.Island-Moline$69,897
Illinois$83,390
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.8%
Working age (18–64)11.4%
Seniors (65+)10.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.2%
speak English only
Spanish4.5%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Straddling two states along the Mississippi, the Quad Cities market blends blue-collar manufacturing towns with growing suburban tracts, producing competitive margins that make it a reliable bellwether in both Iowa and Illinois contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixteen points in 2008 and a Republican high of fifty-two points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twelve points.
A population of 755,815, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,897 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Davenport-R.Island-Moline, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/682/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Davenport-R.Island-Moline, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Davenport-R.Island-Moline, Illinois voted Republican by 11.5 points (R+12), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 371,058 votes cast, 160,580 went Democratic and 203,383 went Republican.
What is Davenport-R.Island-Moline, Illinois's political typology?
Akashic places Davenport-R.Island-Moline, Illinois in the "Heartland Swing" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did Davenport-R.Island-Moline, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Davenport-R.Island-Moline, Illinois voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Davenport-R.Island-Moline, Illinois?
Davenport-R.Island-Moline, Illinois has a population of 755,815 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Davenport-R.Island-Moline, Illinois?
Median household income in Davenport-R.Island-Moline, Illinois is $69,897 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Davenport-R.Island-Moline, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Davenport-R.Island-Moline, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The market's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.