akashic
1876–2024
Richmond-Petersburg·Virginia

Richmond-Petersburg delivered D+9 in 2024.

Virginia's most competitive media market anchors the capital region

18762024·38 elections
VA
LatestD+9in 2024
TypologyRealigning Affluent Suburbcluster typology
Population1,576,0812024 ACS

Richmond-Petersburg, Virginia: Realigning Affluent Suburb market. In 2024, voted D+9%. Democratic peak: D+69 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+9MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Realigning Affluent SuburbAkashic typology
Population
1,576,0812024 5-year
Median household income
$86,5032024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
56.7%2024 5-year
Black
28.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+69 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+32 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Richmond-Petersburg
HarrisD+9
2024 presidential margin by county for Richmond-Petersburg, VAA map of the constituent counties of Richmond-Petersburg, VA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Caroline County, VA · R+9Richmond city, VA · D+66Lunenburg County, VA · R+23Charles City County, VA · D+11Dinwiddie County, VA · R+23Buckingham County, VA · R+23Goochland County, VA · R+18Petersburg city, VA · D+73Cumberland County, VA · R+22Greensville County, VA · D+9Louisa County, VA · R+26King and Queen County, VA · R+26Amelia County, VA · R+44Lancaster County, VA · R+7Hopewell city, VA · D+14Northumberland County, VA · R+21King William County, VA · R+41Middlesex County, VA · R+27New Kent County, VA · R+32Prince George County, VA · R+21Prince Edward County, VA · R+3Brunswick County, VA · D+9Powhatan County, VA · R+44Colonial Heights city, VA · R+32Nottoway County, VA · R+22Emporia city, VA · D+31Sussex County, VA · D+4Essex County, VA · R+8Richmond County, VA · R+30Henrico County, VA · D+29Chesterfield County, VA · D+9Hanover County, VA · R+26
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic53.8%459,135
Donald TrumpRepublican44.5%379,794
OtherAll other candidates1.7%14,547
D+60
R+60
32 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +9.3% in 2024.flipped D · 2008+9.3%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+14.9%
1896+10.9%
1900+15.3%
1904+48.5%
1908+46.8%
1912+68.9%
1916+64.3%
1920+51.3%
1924+54.6%
1928+4.8%
1932+51.2%
1936+60.5%
1940+51.6%
1944+44.9%
1948+14.5%
1952−14.2%
1956−25.5%
1960−14.0%
1964+0.6%
1968−13.6%
1972−32.0%
1976−8.4%
1980−15.0%
1984−27.6%
1988−24.7%
1992−8.8%
1996−7.0%
2000−11.1%
2004−10.2%
2008+6.0%
2012+4.6%
2016+6.6%
2020+11.0%
2024+9.3%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+9.3%
459,135379,794853,476
D
+11.0%
458,801366,102839,145
D
+6.6%
378,914329,710748,240
D
+4.6%
377,861344,174732,143
D
+6.0%
368,521326,512701,238
R
−10.2%
261,659321,559587,022
R
−11.1%
216,681272,522501,928
R
−7.0%
192,764224,246449,323
R
−8.8%
188,437231,651488,760
R
−24.7%
153,505255,656413,452
R
−27.6%
149,063263,878415,518
R
−15.0%
148,356203,649368,525
R
−8.4%
149,877178,008335,368
R
−32.0%
103,017202,556310,909
R
−13.6%
86,243123,836277,144
D
+0.6%
112,421111,098223,835
R
−14.0%
65,56387,059153,887
R
−25.5%
38,92173,480135,476
R
−14.2%
54,24072,272126,922
D
+14.5%
40,11128,39580,911
D
+44.9%
51,51119,54771,230
D
+51.6%
49,34215,66365,273
D
+60.5%
48,67811,86860,796
D
+51.2%
40,10512,56753,758
D
+4.8%
27,81625,27753,093
D
+54.6%
26,2106,99835,158
D
+51.3%
31,82810,13142,312
D
+64.3%
21,2844,53026,059
D
+68.9%
18,6652,48323,472
D
+46.8%
16,3735,87322,425
D
+48.5%
16,1055,49821,858
D
+15.3%
30,36022,24252,994
D
+10.9%
36,25329,00766,282
D
+14.9%
36,25426,46165,849
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.2%
German
9.0%
Irish
8.3%
American
7.6%
Italian
3.6%
Scottish
1.9%
Polish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.1%
speak English only
Spanish5.7%
Other Indo-European2.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
14.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.2%
Other Christian
10.2%
Methodist
5.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.8%
Mainline Protestant
3.7%
Non-Christian
3.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Richmond-Petersburg straddles a persistent partisan fault line, blending the Democratic-leaning city core with battleground exurbs that have shifted measurably toward competitive margins in recent statewide cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty-nine points in 1912 and a Republican high of thirty-two points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was nine points.

A population of 1,576,081, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,503 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Richmond-Petersburg, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/556/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Richmond-Petersburg, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Richmond-Petersburg, Virginia voted Democratic by 9.3 points (D+9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 853,476 votes cast, 459,135 went Democratic and 379,794 went Republican.
What is Richmond-Petersburg, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Richmond-Petersburg, Virginia in the "Realigning Affluent Suburb" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.
When did Richmond-Petersburg, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Richmond-Petersburg, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Richmond-Petersburg, Virginia?
Richmond-Petersburg, Virginia has a population of 1,576,081 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Richmond-Petersburg, Virginia?
Median household income in Richmond-Petersburg, Virginia is $86,503 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Richmond-Petersburg, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Richmond-Petersburg, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The market's typology — "Realigning Affluent Suburb" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.