akashic
1876–2024
Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle)·North Carolina

Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle) delivered D+15 in 2024.

Research Triangle anchors a market split between college corridors and military bases

18762024·38 elections
NC
LatestD+15in 2024
TypologyDiversifying Metrocluster typology
Population3,393,7972024 ACS

Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina: Diversifying Metro market. In 2024, voted D+15%. Democratic peak: D+66 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+15MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
Population
3,393,7972024 5-year
Median household income
$83,2802024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
55.0%2024 5-year
Black
24.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
12.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+66 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle)
HarrisD+15
2024 presidential margin by county for Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), NCA map of the constituent counties of Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), NC, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Vance County, NC · D+13Mecklenburg County, VA · R+21Halifax County, NC · D+18Orange County, NC · D+51Cumberland County, NC · D+13Wayne County, NC · R+16Lee County, NC · R+17Harnett County, NC · R+25Moore County, NC · R+29Warren County, NC · D+19Edgecombe County, NC · D+23Hoke County, NC · D+6Granville County, NC · R+9Nash County, NC · R+2Chatham County, NC · D+12Franklin County, NC · R+14Wilson County, NC · TiedSampson County, NC · R+30Person County, NC · R+24Johnston County, NC · R+21Durham County, NC · D+62Wake County, NC · D+25
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic56.5%1,008,847
Donald TrumpRepublican41.8%747,014
OtherAll other candidates1.7%29,470
D+60
R+60
22 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +14.7% in 2024.flipped D · 2008+14.7%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+13.7%
1896+9.3%
1900+12.3%
1904+34.0%
1908+15.9%
1912+54.8%
1916+28.3%
1920+25.8%
1924+33.5%
1928+6.2%
1932+60.1%
1936+66.4%
1940+64.4%
1944+53.7%
1948+51.1%
1952+31.1%
1956+26.4%
1960+24.9%
1964+19.2%
1968+0.8%
1972−36.7%
1976+11.9%
1980+4.4%
1984−14.7%
1988−7.4%
1992+6.3%
1996+3.2%
2000+1.9%
2004−0.8%
2008+13.6%
2012+12.1%
2016+14.6%
2020+16.6%
2024+14.7%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+14.7%
1,008,847747,0141,785,331
D
+16.6%
999,009711,2211,737,862
D
+14.6%
823,932605,8051,492,003
D
+12.1%
786,771614,9131,418,884
D
+13.6%
754,615572,7571,338,366
R
−0.8%
524,659533,3171,062,222
D
+1.9%
424,965408,723839,600
D
+3.2%
356,554333,328733,025
D
+6.3%
337,302291,733723,597
R
−7.4%
261,156302,977566,527
R
−14.7%
244,999330,002576,309
D
+4.4%
232,953212,392466,301
D
+11.9%
226,515177,917406,834
R
−36.7%
119,062260,561385,173
O
+0.8%
122,879119,810382,972
D
+19.2%
188,170127,564315,734
D
+24.9%
175,013105,245280,323
D
+26.4%
152,47088,586241,988
D
+31.1%
165,75887,158252,954
D
+51.1%
121,66035,095169,376
D
+53.7%
125,45637,773163,229
D
+64.4%
138,54730,005168,555
D
+66.4%
143,64628,988172,636
D
+60.1%
116,00828,419145,852
D
+6.2%
71,76963,419135,188
D
+33.5%
62,99631,00395,524
D
+25.8%
71,77342,321114,101
D
+28.3%
42,04423,49565,643
D
+54.8%
36,0755,22756,332
D
+15.9%
34,32924,90559,308
D
+34.0%
31,90415,65647,828
D
+12.3%
45,79135,69981,979
D
+9.3%
50,05641,46691,894
D
+13.7%
34,94024,01979,528
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.1%
German
8.5%
Irish
8.0%
American
6.8%
Italian
3.6%
Scottish
2.2%
Polish
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
84.3%
speak English only
Spanish9.5%
Other Indo-European2.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.5%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
13.5%
Baptist
12.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.1%
Methodist
6.1%
Mainline Protestant
2.9%
Non-Christian
2.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to Fort Liberty and three major research universities, this market blends a highly educated urban core with one of the country's largest active-duty military populations, producing consistently competitive margins in federal and statewide races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty-six points in 1936 and a Republican high of thirty-seven points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifteen points.

A population of 3,393,797, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,280 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/560/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina voted Democratic by 14.7 points (D+15), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,785,331 votes cast, 1,008,847 went Democratic and 747,014 went Republican.
What is Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina's political typology?
Akashic places Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina in the "Diversifying Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 29 times, Republican 4 times, and other 1 times.
When did Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina?
Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina has a population of 3,393,797 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina?
Median household income in Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina is $83,280 — above the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 4 went Republican. The market's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.