Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina: Diversifying Metro market. In 2024, voted D+15%. Democratic peak: D+66 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+15MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 3,393,7972024 5-year
- Median household income
- $83,2802024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 24.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 56.5% | 1,008,847 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 41.8% | 747,014 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.7% | 29,470 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +13.7% |
| 1896 | +9.3% |
| 1900 | +12.3% |
| 1904 | +34.0% |
| 1908 | +15.9% |
| 1912 | +54.8% |
| 1916 | +28.3% |
| 1920 | +25.8% |
| 1924 | +33.5% |
| 1928 | +6.2% |
| 1932 | +60.1% |
| 1936 | +66.4% |
| 1940 | +64.4% |
| 1944 | +53.7% |
| 1948 | +51.1% |
| 1952 | +31.1% |
| 1956 | +26.4% |
| 1960 | +24.9% |
| 1964 | +19.2% |
| 1968 | +0.8% |
| 1972 | −36.7% |
| 1976 | +11.9% |
| 1980 | +4.4% |
| 1984 | −14.7% |
| 1988 | −7.4% |
| 1992 | +6.3% |
| 1996 | +3.2% |
| 2000 | +1.9% |
| 2004 | −0.8% |
| 2008 | +13.6% |
| 2012 | +12.1% |
| 2016 | +14.6% |
| 2020 | +16.6% |
| 2024 | +14.7% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 1,008,847 | 747,014 | 1,785,331 | ||
| D | 999,009 | 711,221 | 1,737,862 | ||
| D | 823,932 | 605,805 | 1,492,003 | ||
| D | 786,771 | 614,913 | 1,418,884 | ||
| D | 754,615 | 572,757 | 1,338,366 | ||
| R | 524,659 | 533,317 | 1,062,222 | ||
| D | 424,965 | 408,723 | 839,600 | ||
| D | 356,554 | 333,328 | 733,025 | ||
| D | 337,302 | 291,733 | 723,597 | ||
| R | 261,156 | 302,977 | 566,527 | ||
| R | 244,999 | 330,002 | 576,309 | ||
| D | 232,953 | 212,392 | 466,301 | ||
| D | 226,515 | 177,917 | 406,834 | ||
| R | 119,062 | 260,561 | 385,173 | ||
| O | 122,879 | 119,810 | 382,972 | ||
| D | 188,170 | 127,564 | 315,734 | ||
| D | 175,013 | 105,245 | 280,323 | ||
| D | 152,470 | 88,586 | 241,988 | ||
| D | 165,758 | 87,158 | 252,954 | ||
| D | 121,660 | 35,095 | 169,376 | ||
| D | 125,456 | 37,773 | 163,229 | ||
| D | 138,547 | 30,005 | 168,555 | ||
| D | 143,646 | 28,988 | 172,636 | ||
| D | 116,008 | 28,419 | 145,852 | ||
| D | 71,769 | 63,419 | 135,188 | ||
| D | 62,996 | 31,003 | 95,524 | ||
| D | 71,773 | 42,321 | 114,101 | ||
| D | 42,044 | 23,495 | 65,643 | ||
| D | 36,075 | 5,227 | 56,332 | ||
| D | 34,329 | 24,905 | 59,308 | ||
| D | 31,904 | 15,656 | 47,828 | ||
| D | 45,791 | 35,699 | 81,979 | ||
| D | 50,056 | 41,466 | 91,894 | ||
| D | 34,940 | 24,019 | 79,528 | ||
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Demographics
Home to Fort Liberty and three major research universities, this market blends a highly educated urban core with one of the country's largest active-duty military populations, producing consistently competitive margins in federal and statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty-six points in 1936 and a Republican high of thirty-seven points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifteen points.
A population of 3,393,797, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,280 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
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Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle), North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/560/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.