Jacksonville, Florida: Sunbelt Conservative market. In 2024, voted R+23%. Democratic peak: D+68 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Sunbelt ConservativeAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,104,2272024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,5992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 20.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+68 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 61.2% | 657,148 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 37.8% | 406,064 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.0% | 10,560 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | −2.9% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +54.0% |
| 1896 | +20.6% |
| 1900 | +40.1% |
| 1904 | +41.5% |
| 1908 | +37.9% |
| 1912 | +68.0% |
| 1916 | +56.0% |
| 1920 | +34.9% |
| 1924 | +35.7% |
| 1928 | −14.4% |
| 1932 | +59.0% |
| 1936 | +67.1% |
| 1940 | +64.9% |
| 1944 | +52.9% |
| 1948 | +24.9% |
| 1952 | +9.6% |
| 1956 | +5.7% |
| 1960 | +13.3% |
| 1964 | −4.1% |
| 1968 | +0.9% |
| 1972 | −49.3% |
| 1976 | +21.2% |
| 1980 | −3.7% |
| 1984 | −28.8% |
| 1988 | −28.9% |
| 1992 | −13.7% |
| 1996 | −11.4% |
| 2000 | −24.6% |
| 2004 | −28.2% |
| 2008 | −18.7% |
| 2012 | −21.9% |
| 2016 | −22.1% |
| 2020 | −18.0% |
| 2024 | −23.4% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 406,064 | 657,148 | 1,073,772 | ||
| R | 426,937 | 617,523 | 1,057,233 | ||
| R | 334,910 | 533,021 | 897,882 | ||
| R | 320,528 | 502,343 | 830,477 | ||
| R | 331,949 | 485,758 | 823,407 | ||
| R | 260,275 | 466,217 | 731,203 | ||
| R | 193,782 | 323,171 | 526,901 | ||
| R | 195,453 | 250,227 | 481,176 | ||
| R | 163,972 | 227,689 | 465,420 | ||
| R | 128,591 | 233,964 | 364,439 | ||
| R | 126,982 | 229,639 | 356,667 | ||
| R | 154,073 | 166,137 | 330,271 | ||
| D | 179,055 | 115,943 | 297,872 | ||
| R | 64,930 | 192,205 | 257,905 | ||
| O | 75,681 | 73,387 | 255,417 | ||
| R | 117,117 | 127,022 | 244,143 | ||
| D | 108,302 | 82,837 | 191,139 | ||
| D | 86,948 | 77,632 | 164,580 | ||
| D | 88,597 | 73,133 | 161,730 | ||
| D | 47,355 | 23,203 | 97,067 | ||
| D | 59,912 | 18,431 | 78,345 | ||
| D | 66,545 | 14,173 | 80,738 | ||
| D | 48,871 | 9,608 | 58,506 | ||
| D | 39,471 | 10,178 | 49,679 | ||
| R | 20,661 | 27,741 | 49,081 | ||
| D | 13,695 | 5,590 | 22,689 | ||
| D | 23,377 | 10,833 | 35,969 | ||
| D | 13,322 | 3,006 | 18,421 | ||
| D | 9,407 | 957 | 12,427 | ||
| D | 7,941 | 3,140 | 12,680 | ||
| D | 7,361 | 2,747 | 11,128 | ||
| D | 4,989 | 2,023 | 7,389 | ||
| D | 4,475 | 2,849 | 7,895 | ||
| D | 5,006 | 1,339 | 6,792 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| R | 7,321 | 7,752 | 15,073 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Jacksonville's media market spans the northeastern Florida coast and bleeds into coastal Georgia, reaching an electorate shaped by a large active-duty and veteran population that has historically tilted competitive in federal contests while reliably backing statewide Republican candidates.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty-eight points in 1912 and a Republican high of forty-nine points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-three points.
A population of 2,104,227, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,599 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Jacksonville, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/561/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.