akashic
1876–2024
Harrisonburg·Virginia

Harrisonburg has voted Republican in fifteen straight presidential elections — R+26 in 2024.

Shenandoah Valley market anchored by a major university town

18762024·38 elections
VA
LatestR+26in 2024
TypologyRealigning Affluent Suburbcluster typology
Population269,8572024 ACS

Harrisonburg, Virginia: Realigning Affluent Suburb market. In 2024, voted R+26%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+26MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Realigning Affluent SuburbAkashic typology
Population
269,8572024 5-year
Median household income
$74,0162024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
81.3%2024 5-year
Black
5.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+35 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+57 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Harrisonburg
TrumpR+26
2024 presidential margin by county for Harrisonburg, VAA map of the constituent counties of Harrisonburg, VA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Harrisonburg city, VA · D+25Pendleton County, WV · R+59Waynesboro city, VA · R+6Augusta County, VA · R+47Rockingham County, VA · R+37Staunton city, VA · D+13
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican61.9%86,075
Kamala HarrisDemocratic36.4%50,591
OtherAll other candidates1.7%2,306
D+60
R+60
6 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −25.5% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−25.5%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+17.5%
1896+1.3%
1900+4.8%
1904+13.7%
1908+11.9%
1912+35.1%
1916+19.8%
1920+2.4%
1924+12.7%
1928−24.9%
1932+20.5%
1936+16.7%
1940+11.6%
1944−1.9%
1948−13.4%
1952−37.3%
1956−39.3%
1960−33.1%
1964+5.9%
1968−37.9%
1972−56.6%
1976−21.2%
1980−29.7%
1984−49.7%
1988−42.1%
1992−28.0%
1996−27.5%
2000−36.8%
2004−39.6%
2008−23.2%
2012−25.8%
2016−28.7%
2020−25.6%
2024−25.5%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−25.5%
50,59186,075138,972
R
−25.6%
47,26880,638130,541
R
−28.7%
37,58170,747115,530
R
−25.8%
38,81266,532107,388
R
−23.2%
39,50763,816104,617
R
−39.6%
26,94763,04591,086
R
−36.8%
23,19251,92578,060
R
−27.5%
22,32941,86171,065
R
−28.0%
20,79041,18372,955
R
−42.1%
17,77544,21662,799
R
−49.7%
15,55846,65862,584
R
−29.7%
18,70035,98958,184
R
−21.2%
20,04231,35953,275
R
−56.6%
11,33342,42454,897
R
−37.9%
9,99326,37343,194
D
+5.9%
33,96130,14464,201
R
−33.1%
9,11318,19827,408
R
−39.3%
7,25016,97124,737
R
−37.3%
7,34516,11923,496
R
−13.4%
7,48310,03418,998
R
−1.9%
9,64510,02019,715
D
+11.6%
10,5578,35419,020
D
+16.7%
10,9067,76418,780
D
+20.5%
9,8696,45316,638
R
−24.9%
6,17910,27416,453
D
+12.7%
7,6435,88913,784
D
+2.4%
7,5137,16114,818
D
+19.8%
5,5343,6859,332
D
+35.1%
5,1112,0458,743
D
+11.9%
4,8783,8128,977
D
+13.7%
4,8133,6258,646
D
+4.8%
7,2626,57414,207
D
+1.3%
7,8947,68716,094
D
+17.5%
8,8506,12615,587
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.2%
English
13.2%
Irish
9.5%
American
6.3%
Italian
3.6%
Scottish
2.2%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
88.7%
speak English only
Spanish7.6%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Other languages0.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
14.7%
Mainline Protestant
12.1%
Methodist
8.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
5.1%
Baptist
4.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.6%
Non-Christian
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Harrisonburg's media market spans a conservative rural Shenandoah Valley base softened by James Madison University's student and faculty population, producing a competitive mix that keeps margins tighter than surrounding Virginia districts typically suggest.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-five points in 1912 and a Republican high of fifty-seven points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-six points.

A population of 269,857, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,016 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Harrisonburg, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/569/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Harrisonburg, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Harrisonburg, Virginia voted Republican by 25.5 points (R+26), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 138,972 votes cast, 50,591 went Democratic and 86,075 went Republican.
What is Harrisonburg, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Harrisonburg, Virginia in the "Realigning Affluent Suburb" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did Harrisonburg, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Harrisonburg, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Harrisonburg, Virginia?
Harrisonburg, Virginia has a population of 269,857 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harrisonburg, Virginia?
Median household income in Harrisonburg, Virginia is $74,016 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Harrisonburg, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Harrisonburg, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The market's typology — "Realigning Affluent Suburb" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.