Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas: Diversifying Metro market. In 2024, voted R+31%. Democratic peak: D+51 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 931,1002024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,2632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 64.5% | 235,021 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 33.0% | 120,225 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.5% | 9,250 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +25.4% |
| 1896 | +43.7% |
| 1900 | +32.1% |
| 1904 | +13.1% |
| 1908 | +15.5% |
| 1912 | +33.0% |
| 1916 | +28.7% |
| 1920 | +2.8% |
| 1924 | +15.7% |
| 1928 | −4.0% |
| 1932 | +51.1% |
| 1936 | +38.3% |
| 1940 | +28.0% |
| 1944 | +15.2% |
| 1948 | +26.2% |
| 1952 | −8.6% |
| 1956 | −9.1% |
| 1960 | −15.2% |
| 1964 | +10.6% |
| 1968 | −14.3% |
| 1972 | −49.9% |
| 1976 | +8.8% |
| 1980 | −22.5% |
| 1984 | −39.5% |
| 1988 | −31.1% |
| 1992 | +1.2% |
| 1996 | −0.4% |
| 2000 | −20.0% |
| 2004 | −24.4% |
| 2008 | −30.8% |
| 2012 | −34.1% |
| 2016 | −34.9% |
| 2020 | −30.2% |
| 2024 | −31.5% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 120,225 | 235,021 | 364,496 | ||
| R | 119,026 | 226,276 | 355,354 | ||
| R | 92,178 | 196,945 | 300,555 | ||
| R | 87,230 | 181,071 | 275,457 | ||
| R | 91,239 | 174,929 | 271,743 | ||
| R | 98,132 | 162,494 | 263,341 | ||
| R | 85,232 | 129,392 | 221,134 | ||
| R | 87,832 | 88,618 | 198,010 | ||
| D | 90,770 | 88,291 | 210,142 | ||
| R | 57,110 | 109,499 | 168,421 | ||
| R | 52,979 | 123,428 | 178,275 | ||
| R | 62,440 | 101,343 | 173,080 | ||
| D | 82,385 | 69,066 | 151,933 | ||
| R | 32,346 | 97,656 | 130,890 | ||
| R | 32,223 | 48,760 | 115,410 | ||
| D | 55,035 | 44,485 | 99,803 | ||
| R | 37,369 | 50,918 | 89,325 | ||
| R | 36,701 | 44,047 | 81,131 | ||
| R | 38,838 | 46,188 | 85,188 | ||
| D | 33,234 | 18,875 | 54,758 | ||
| D | 30,345 | 22,339 | 52,793 | ||
| D | 34,042 | 19,069 | 53,390 | ||
| D | 33,441 | 14,892 | 48,470 | ||
| D | 39,820 | 12,625 | 53,182 | ||
| R | 24,182 | 26,196 | 50,655 | ||
| D | 22,301 | 15,650 | 42,329 | ||
| D | 24,612 | 23,254 | 49,320 | ||
| D | 23,578 | 12,784 | 37,545 | ||
| D | 15,965 | 6,452 | 28,868 | ||
| D | 20,556 | 14,710 | 37,598 | ||
| D | 11,243 | 8,491 | 21,030 | ||
| D | 15,630 | 7,945 | 23,916 | ||
| D | 19,560 | 7,587 | 27,419 | ||
| D | 16,475 | 9,395 | 27,907 | ||
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Demographics
The Fort Smith–Fayetteville–Springdale–Rogers media market straddles two states along the Arkansas-Oklahoma border, blending a fast-growing Northwest Arkansas corridor—anchored by Walmart's corporate headquarters—with more rural, traditionally conservative constituencies to the south and west.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty-one points in 1932 and a Republican high of fifty points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved one point toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-one points.
A population of 931,100, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,263 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/670/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.