akashic
1876–2024
Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs·Arkansas

Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs has voted Republican in eight straight presidential elections — R+31 in 2024.

Arkansas-Oklahoma border market where Ozark growth strains old political maps

18762024·38 elections
AR
LatestR+31in 2024
TypologyDiversifying Metrocluster typology
Population931,1002024 ACS

Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas: Diversifying Metro market. In 2024, voted R+31%. Democratic peak: D+51 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+31MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
Population
931,1002024 5-year
Median household income
$72,2632024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
66.2%2024 5-year
Black
2.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
15.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+51 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+50 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs
TrumpR+31
2024 presidential margin by county for Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, ARA map of the constituent counties of Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, AR, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Sequoyah County, OK · R+62Johnson County, AR · R+51Crawford County, AR · R+58Madison County, AR · R+59Scott County, AR · R+74Logan County, AR · R+62Sebastian County, AR · R+38Franklin County, AR · R+62Benton County, AR · R+27Washington County, AR · R+7Le Flore County, OK · R+65
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican64.5%235,021
Kamala HarrisDemocratic33.0%120,225
OtherAll other candidates2.5%9,250
D+60
R+60
11 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −31.5% in 2024.flipped R · 1996−31.5%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+25.4%
1896+43.7%
1900+32.1%
1904+13.1%
1908+15.5%
1912+33.0%
1916+28.7%
1920+2.8%
1924+15.7%
1928−4.0%
1932+51.1%
1936+38.3%
1940+28.0%
1944+15.2%
1948+26.2%
1952−8.6%
1956−9.1%
1960−15.2%
1964+10.6%
1968−14.3%
1972−49.9%
1976+8.8%
1980−22.5%
1984−39.5%
1988−31.1%
1992+1.2%
1996−0.4%
2000−20.0%
2004−24.4%
2008−30.8%
2012−34.1%
2016−34.9%
2020−30.2%
2024−31.5%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−31.5%
120,225235,021364,496
R
−30.2%
119,026226,276355,354
R
−34.9%
92,178196,945300,555
R
−34.1%
87,230181,071275,457
R
−30.8%
91,239174,929271,743
R
−24.4%
98,132162,494263,341
R
−20.0%
85,232129,392221,134
R
−0.4%
87,83288,618198,010
D
+1.2%
90,77088,291210,142
R
−31.1%
57,110109,499168,421
R
−39.5%
52,979123,428178,275
R
−22.5%
62,440101,343173,080
D
+8.8%
82,38569,066151,933
R
−49.9%
32,34697,656130,890
R
−14.3%
32,22348,760115,410
D
+10.6%
55,03544,48599,803
R
−15.2%
37,36950,91889,325
R
−9.1%
36,70144,04781,131
R
−8.6%
38,83846,18885,188
D
+26.2%
33,23418,87554,758
D
+15.2%
30,34522,33952,793
D
+28.0%
34,04219,06953,390
D
+38.3%
33,44114,89248,470
D
+51.1%
39,82012,62553,182
R
−4.0%
24,18226,19650,655
D
+15.7%
22,30115,65042,329
D
+2.8%
24,61223,25449,320
D
+28.7%
23,57812,78437,545
D
+33.0%
15,9656,45228,868
D
+15.5%
20,55614,71037,598
D
+13.1%
11,2438,49121,030
D
+32.1%
15,6307,94523,916
D
+43.7%
19,5607,58727,419
D
+25.4%
16,4759,39527,907
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.0%
German
11.0%
Irish
9.3%
American
6.6%
Scottish
2.0%
Italian
1.8%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.1%
speak English only
Spanish10.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.5%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
21.0%
Other Christian
14.2%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.5%
Methodist
3.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Fort Smith–Fayetteville–Springdale–Rogers media market straddles two states along the Arkansas-Oklahoma border, blending a fast-growing Northwest Arkansas corridor—anchored by Walmart's corporate headquarters—with more rural, traditionally conservative constituencies to the south and west.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty-one points in 1932 and a Republican high of fifty points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved one point toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-one points.

A population of 931,100, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,263 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/670/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas voted Republican by 31.5 points (R+31), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 364,496 votes cast, 120,225 went Democratic and 235,021 went Republican.
What is Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas's political typology?
Akashic places Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas in the "Diversifying Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas?
Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas has a population of 931,100 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas?
Median household income in Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas is $72,263 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The market's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.