Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas: Evangelical Deep South market. In 2024, voted R+26%. Democratic peak: D+77 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+26MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Evangelical Deep SouthAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,466,3312024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,3722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 62.0% | 361,915 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 35.8% | 209,050 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.2% | 12,831 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +26.9% |
| 1896 | +47.9% |
| 1900 | +25.3% |
| 1904 | +13.1% |
| 1908 | +17.9% |
| 1912 | +34.8% |
| 1916 | +40.4% |
| 1920 | +17.4% |
| 1924 | +33.5% |
| 1928 | +24.2% |
| 1932 | +76.9% |
| 1936 | +69.0% |
| 1940 | +62.2% |
| 1944 | +44.3% |
| 1948 | +44.3% |
| 1952 | +16.9% |
| 1956 | +8.0% |
| 1960 | +16.1% |
| 1964 | +14.1% |
| 1968 | +3.6% |
| 1972 | −31.2% |
| 1976 | +39.1% |
| 1980 | +7.9% |
| 1984 | −16.7% |
| 1988 | −10.4% |
| 1992 | +21.8% |
| 1996 | +21.5% |
| 2000 | −1.8% |
| 2004 | −5.4% |
| 2008 | −16.2% |
| 2012 | −19.2% |
| 2016 | −22.5% |
| 2020 | −23.0% |
| 2024 | −26.2% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 209,050 | 361,915 | 583,796 | ||
| R | 228,004 | 368,844 | 613,448 | ||
| R | 208,729 | 333,975 | 556,748 | ||
| R | 216,394 | 322,273 | 552,140 | ||
| R | 229,821 | 321,184 | 564,172 | ||
| R | 254,948 | 284,479 | 545,256 | ||
| R | 226,088 | 234,615 | 474,048 | ||
| D | 259,603 | 160,565 | 461,307 | ||
| D | 274,674 | 167,693 | 490,784 | ||
| R | 192,435 | 237,815 | 436,454 | ||
| R | 190,670 | 268,270 | 465,396 | ||
| D | 220,975 | 187,222 | 427,078 | ||
| D | 274,577 | 120,166 | 395,256 | ||
| R | 112,479 | 214,976 | 328,870 | ||
| O | 99,585 | 88,336 | 313,635 | ||
| D | 168,345 | 126,397 | 296,530 | ||
| D | 115,757 | 80,872 | 216,500 | ||
| D | 108,986 | 92,534 | 204,753 | ||
| D | 115,991 | 82,379 | 199,152 | ||
| D | 76,029 | 23,040 | 119,508 | ||
| D | 73,566 | 28,363 | 102,151 | ||
| D | 76,277 | 17,589 | 94,324 | ||
| D | 70,767 | 12,894 | 83,904 | ||
| D | 91,257 | 11,578 | 103,603 | ||
| D | 58,205 | 35,474 | 93,983 | ||
| D | 38,571 | 17,790 | 62,013 | ||
| D | 49,795 | 34,725 | 86,854 | ||
| D | 55,339 | 23,467 | 78,806 | ||
| D | 32,968 | 12,188 | 59,664 | ||
| D | 40,606 | 27,658 | 72,176 | ||
| D | 29,900 | 22,675 | 55,160 | ||
| D | 36,625 | 21,600 | 59,333 | ||
| D | 52,835 | 18,334 | 72,023 | ||
| D | 42,113 | 22,592 | 72,592 | ||
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Demographics
Spanning the capital corridor and the majority-Black Delta counties around Pine Bluff, this market blends competitive state-level races with some of Arkansas's most economically distressed and reliably Democratic precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of seventy-seven points in 1932 and a Republican high of thirty-one points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-six points.
A population of 1,466,331, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,372 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
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Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/693/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.