Montgomery-Selma, Alabama: Black Belt market. In 2024, voted R+8%. Democratic peak: D+94 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+8MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Black BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 631,9902024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,9842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 48.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 44.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+78 in 1964MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 53.3% | 148,080 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 45.6% | 126,479 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.1% | 3,019 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | −9.0% |
| 1880 | +11.9% |
| 1884 | +23.2% |
| 1888 | +39.0% |
| 1892 | +57.7% |
| 1896 | +55.9% |
| 1900 | +50.8% |
| 1904 | +82.5% |
| 1908 | +81.7% |
| 1912 | +86.5% |
| 1916 | +89.2% |
| 1920 | +81.5% |
| 1924 | +85.8% |
| 1928 | +28.7% |
| 1932 | +91.6% |
| 1936 | +94.3% |
| 1940 | +93.9% |
| 1944 | +90.0% |
| 1948 | −6.4% |
| 1952 | +29.6% |
| 1956 | +17.8% |
| 1960 | +19.2% |
| 1964 | −77.6% |
| 1968 | +17.4% |
| 1972 | −38.1% |
| 1976 | +10.8% |
| 1980 | +3.0% |
| 1984 | −13.0% |
| 1988 | −10.3% |
| 1992 | +0.8% |
| 1996 | +2.8% |
| 2000 | −3.2% |
| 2004 | −11.0% |
| 2008 | −1.1% |
| 2012 | +2.1% |
| 2016 | −2.9% |
| 2020 | −2.1% |
| 2024 | −7.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 126,479 | 148,080 | 277,578 | ||
| R | 143,432 | 149,788 | 296,374 | ||
| R | 134,240 | 142,270 | 280,451 | ||
| D | 149,106 | 143,041 | 293,991 | ||
| R | 145,759 | 149,036 | 296,298 | ||
| R | 113,768 | 142,111 | 257,034 | ||
| R | 111,374 | 118,946 | 233,311 | ||
| D | 107,883 | 101,756 | 220,124 | ||
| D | 108,052 | 106,128 | 237,195 | ||
| R | 88,240 | 108,727 | 198,853 | ||
| R | 93,247 | 121,446 | 216,893 | ||
| D | 101,774 | 95,671 | 204,913 | ||
| D | 98,641 | 79,173 | 180,696 | ||
| R | 46,537 | 105,838 | 155,442 | ||
| O | 42,690 | 14,485 | 162,013 | ||
| R | 0 | 75,136 | 96,869 | ||
| D | 42,902 | 28,938 | 72,632 | ||
| D | 36,392 | 24,369 | 67,734 | ||
| D | 41,816 | 22,655 | 64,728 | ||
| O | 0 | 1,981 | 31,027 | ||
| D | 35,746 | 1,799 | 37,700 | ||
| D | 46,754 | 1,412 | 48,266 | ||
| D | 45,194 | 1,195 | 46,634 | ||
| D | 39,750 | 1,517 | 41,758 | ||
| D | 24,708 | 13,693 | 38,422 | ||
| D | 20,729 | 1,156 | 22,801 | ||
| D | 26,346 | 2,589 | 29,152 | ||
| D | 20,403 | 1,025 | 21,719 | ||
| D | 17,262 | 574 | 19,295 | ||
| D | 16,523 | 1,424 | 18,491 | ||
| D | 16,892 | 1,334 | 18,857 | ||
| D | 27,665 | 8,610 | 37,539 | ||
| D | 34,147 | 8,878 | 45,178 | ||
| D | 37,734 | 2,790 | 60,596 | ||
| D | 36,236 | 15,876 | 52,142 | ||
| D | 29,055 | 18,079 | 47,277 | ||
| D | 25,466 | 20,033 | 45,574 | ||
| R | 25,480 | 30,500 | 55,980 |
Demographics
Spanning the historic Black Belt from Montgomery to Selma, this market's electorate is among the most heavily African-American in the Deep South, consistently producing some of Alabama's largest Democratic vote shares in a state that trends reliably Republican statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of ninety-four points in 1936 and a Republican high of seventy-eight points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eight points.
A population of 631,990, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,984 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Montgomery-Selma, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/698/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.