akashic
1876–2024
Honolulu·Hawaii

Honolulu has voted Democratic in ten straight presidential elections — D+23 in 2024.

Island market where geography shapes turnout as much as demographics

18762024·38 elections
HI
LatestD+23in 2024
TypologyFlorida Surgecluster typology
Population1,445,1682024 ACS

Honolulu, Hawaii: Florida Surge market. In 2024, voted D+23%. Democratic peak: D+58 in 1964.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+23MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Florida SurgeAkashic typology
Population
1,445,1682024 5-year
Median household income
$100,8082024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
22.1%2024 5-year
Black
1.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+58 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+25 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Honolulu
HarrisD+23
2024 presidential margin by county for Honolulu, HIA map of the constituent counties of Honolulu, HI, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Kauai County, HI · D+20Honolulu County, HI · D+22Maui County, HI · D+26Hawaii County, HI · D+28
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic60.6%313,044
Donald TrumpRepublican37.5%193,661
OtherAll other candidates1.9%9,996
D+60
R+60
4 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +23.1% in 2024.flipped D · 1988+23.1%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892No data
1896No data
1900No data
1904No data
1908No data
1912No data
1916No data
1920No data
1924No data
1928No data
1932No data
1936No data
1940No data
1944No data
1948No data
1952No data
1956No data
1960+0.1%
1964+57.5%
1968+21.1%
1972−25.0%
1976+2.5%
1980+1.9%
1984−11.3%
1988+9.5%
1992+11.4%
1996+25.3%
2000+18.3%
2004+8.7%
2008+45.2%
2012+42.7%
2016+32.2%
2020+29.5%
2024+23.1%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+23.1%
313,044193,661516,701
D
+29.5%
366,130196,864574,469
D
+32.2%
266,891128,847428,937
D
+42.7%
306,266120,937434,221
D
+45.2%
325,201120,429452,742
D
+8.7%
231,335194,116428,555
D
+18.3%
205,242137,819367,871
D
+25.3%
205,012113,943360,120
D
+11.4%
179,310136,822372,842
D
+9.5%
192,364158,625354,461
R
−11.3%
147,098184,934335,674
D
+1.9%
135,857130,085303,228
D
+2.5%
147,375140,003291,301
R
−25.0%
101,409168,865270,274
D
+21.1%
141,32491,425236,218
D
+57.5%
163,24944,022207,271
D
+0.1%
92,41092,295184,705
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
5.8%
English
5.1%
Irish
4.7%
Italian
2.1%
French
1.2%
American
1.1%
Polish
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
75.3%
speak English only
Asian & Pacific Islander20.4%
Spanish2.1%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
18.6%
Other Christian
10.6%
Non-Christian
4.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.2%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Baptist
1.4%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Honolulu's media market spans Oahu and reaches neighbor islands, serving an electorate where Native Hawaiian and Asian American voters form a majority and Democrats have carried statewide races by double-digit margins for decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty-eight points in 1964 and a Republican high of twenty-five points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-three points.

A population of 1,445,168, a 22% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $100,808 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Honolulu, Hawaii. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/744/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Honolulu, Hawaii vote in 2024?
In 2024, Honolulu, Hawaii voted Democratic by 23.1 points (D+23), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 516,701 votes cast, 313,044 went Democratic and 193,661 went Republican.
What is Honolulu, Hawaii's political typology?
Akashic places Honolulu, Hawaii in the "Florida Surge" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 2 times, and other 0 times.
When did Honolulu, Hawaii last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Honolulu, Hawaii voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Honolulu, Hawaii?
Honolulu, Hawaii has a population of 1,445,168 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Honolulu, Hawaii?
Median household income in Honolulu, Hawaii is $100,808 — above the national median of $80,734. The Hawaii state median is $100,389.
What is the political history of Honolulu, Hawaii?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Honolulu, Hawaii from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 2 went Republican. The market's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.