Honolulu, Hawaii: Florida Surge market. In 2024, voted D+23%. Democratic peak: D+58 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+23MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,445,1682024 5-year
- Median household income
- $100,8082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 22.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+58 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+25 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 60.6% | 313,044 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 37.5% | 193,661 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.9% | 9,996 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | No data |
| 1916 | No data |
| 1920 | No data |
| 1924 | No data |
| 1928 | No data |
| 1932 | No data |
| 1936 | No data |
| 1940 | No data |
| 1944 | No data |
| 1948 | No data |
| 1952 | No data |
| 1956 | No data |
| 1960 | +0.1% |
| 1964 | +57.5% |
| 1968 | +21.1% |
| 1972 | −25.0% |
| 1976 | +2.5% |
| 1980 | +1.9% |
| 1984 | −11.3% |
| 1988 | +9.5% |
| 1992 | +11.4% |
| 1996 | +25.3% |
| 2000 | +18.3% |
| 2004 | +8.7% |
| 2008 | +45.2% |
| 2012 | +42.7% |
| 2016 | +32.2% |
| 2020 | +29.5% |
| 2024 | +23.1% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 313,044 | 193,661 | 516,701 | ||
| D | 366,130 | 196,864 | 574,469 | ||
| D | 266,891 | 128,847 | 428,937 | ||
| D | 306,266 | 120,937 | 434,221 | ||
| D | 325,201 | 120,429 | 452,742 | ||
| D | 231,335 | 194,116 | 428,555 | ||
| D | 205,242 | 137,819 | 367,871 | ||
| D | 205,012 | 113,943 | 360,120 | ||
| D | 179,310 | 136,822 | 372,842 | ||
| D | 192,364 | 158,625 | 354,461 | ||
| R | 147,098 | 184,934 | 335,674 | ||
| D | 135,857 | 130,085 | 303,228 | ||
| D | 147,375 | 140,003 | 291,301 | ||
| R | 101,409 | 168,865 | 270,274 | ||
| D | 141,324 | 91,425 | 236,218 | ||
| D | 163,249 | 44,022 | 207,271 | ||
| D | 92,410 | 92,295 | 184,705 | ||
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Demographics
Honolulu's media market spans Oahu and reaches neighbor islands, serving an electorate where Native Hawaiian and Asian American voters form a majority and Democrats have carried statewide races by double-digit margins for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty-eight points in 1964 and a Republican high of twenty-five points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-three points.
A population of 1,445,168, a 22% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $100,808 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
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Honolulu, Hawaii. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/744/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.