Helena, Montana: Stable Rural Right market. In 2024, voted R+11%. Democratic peak: D+57 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 81,1322024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,4942024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+57 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+29 in 1956MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 53.9% | 25,249 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 42.6% | 19,970 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 3.4% | 1,614 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +1.5% |
| 1896 | +57.5% |
| 1900 | +16.9% |
| 1904 | −17.4% |
| 1908 | +3.7% |
| 1912 | +13.1% |
| 1916 | +14.7% |
| 1920 | −24.5% |
| 1924 | −19.4% |
| 1928 | −13.6% |
| 1932 | +15.0% |
| 1936 | +31.3% |
| 1940 | +9.4% |
| 1944 | +0.5% |
| 1948 | −5.2% |
| 1952 | −26.6% |
| 1956 | −29.1% |
| 1960 | −8.9% |
| 1964 | +9.0% |
| 1968 | −18.4% |
| 1972 | −27.5% |
| 1976 | −11.6% |
| 1980 | −26.2% |
| 1984 | −23.3% |
| 1988 | +2.1% |
| 1992 | +5.1% |
| 1996 | −1.9% |
| 2000 | −20.9% |
| 2004 | −15.6% |
| 2008 | +3.2% |
| 2012 | −7.1% |
| 2016 | −10.9% |
| 2020 | −8.6% |
| 2024 | −11.3% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 19,970 | 25,249 | 46,833 | ||
| R | 20,578 | 24,582 | 46,362 | ||
| R | 15,051 | 19,243 | 38,429 | ||
| R | 16,384 | 18,955 | 36,329 | ||
| D | 17,971 | 16,841 | 35,680 | ||
| R | 13,250 | 18,272 | 32,199 | ||
| R | 10,444 | 16,579 | 29,343 | ||
| R | 12,138 | 12,694 | 28,513 | ||
| D | 11,608 | 10,181 | 28,021 | ||
| D | 12,524 | 12,000 | 25,017 | ||
| R | 9,226 | 14,914 | 24,456 | ||
| R | 7,216 | 13,180 | 22,776 | ||
| R | 8,675 | 10,975 | 19,906 | ||
| R | 6,492 | 11,635 | 18,692 | ||
| R | 5,818 | 8,650 | 15,351 | ||
| D | 8,101 | 6,764 | 14,891 | ||
| R | 6,639 | 7,940 | 14,596 | ||
| R | 4,846 | 8,828 | 13,674 | ||
| R | 4,998 | 8,625 | 13,643 | ||
| R | 5,281 | 5,878 | 11,442 | ||
| D | 5,295 | 5,242 | 10,581 | ||
| D | 6,668 | 5,517 | 12,296 | ||
| D | 6,685 | 3,453 | 10,322 | ||
| D | 5,702 | 4,183 | 10,115 | ||
| R | 3,941 | 5,184 | 9,159 | ||
| R | 2,355 | 3,964 | 8,283 | ||
| R | 3,035 | 5,071 | 8,317 | ||
| D | 5,437 | 4,007 | 9,708 | ||
| O | 1,956 | 1,267 | 5,268 | ||
| D | 2,557 | 2,359 | 5,291 | ||
| R | 1,946 | 2,897 | 5,461 | ||
| D | 3,335 | 2,361 | 5,762 | ||
| D | 3,939 | 1,057 | 5,016 | ||
| D | 2,093 | 2,014 | 5,280 | ||
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Demographics
Anchored by Lewis and Clark County, the Helena media market blends a government-worker electorate with surrounding rural ranching precincts, producing margins that often run closer than Montana's statewide Republican lean suggests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty-seven points in 1896 and a Republican high of twenty-nine points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eleven points.
A population of 81,132, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,494 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
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Helena, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/766/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.