akashic
1876–2024
Helena·Montana

Helena delivered R+11 in 2024.

Montana's capital market where state-government news drives the agenda

18762024·38 elections
MT
LatestR+11in 2024
TypologyStable Rural Rightcluster typology
Population81,1322024 ACS

Helena, Montana: Stable Rural Right market. In 2024, voted R+11%. Democratic peak: D+57 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+11MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
Population
81,1322024 5-year
Median household income
$77,4942024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
90.6%2024 5-year
Black
0.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+57 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+29 in 1956MIT Election Lab
Helena
TrumpR+11
2024 presidential margin by county for Helena, MTA map of the constituent counties of Helena, MT, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Broadwater County, MT · R+60Lewis and Clark County, MT · R+6
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican53.9%25,249
Kamala HarrisDemocratic42.6%19,970
OtherAll other candidates3.4%1,614
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −11.3% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−11.3%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+1.5%
1896+57.5%
1900+16.9%
1904−17.4%
1908+3.7%
1912+13.1%
1916+14.7%
1920−24.5%
1924−19.4%
1928−13.6%
1932+15.0%
1936+31.3%
1940+9.4%
1944+0.5%
1948−5.2%
1952−26.6%
1956−29.1%
1960−8.9%
1964+9.0%
1968−18.4%
1972−27.5%
1976−11.6%
1980−26.2%
1984−23.3%
1988+2.1%
1992+5.1%
1996−1.9%
2000−20.9%
2004−15.6%
2008+3.2%
2012−7.1%
2016−10.9%
2020−8.6%
2024−11.3%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−11.3%
19,97025,24946,833
R
−8.6%
20,57824,58246,362
R
−10.9%
15,05119,24338,429
R
−7.1%
16,38418,95536,329
D
+3.2%
17,97116,84135,680
R
−15.6%
13,25018,27232,199
R
−20.9%
10,44416,57929,343
R
−1.9%
12,13812,69428,513
D
+5.1%
11,60810,18128,021
D
+2.1%
12,52412,00025,017
R
−23.3%
9,22614,91424,456
R
−26.2%
7,21613,18022,776
R
−11.6%
8,67510,97519,906
R
−27.5%
6,49211,63518,692
R
−18.4%
5,8188,65015,351
D
+9.0%
8,1016,76414,891
R
−8.9%
6,6397,94014,596
R
−29.1%
4,8468,82813,674
R
−26.6%
4,9988,62513,643
R
−5.2%
5,2815,87811,442
D
+0.5%
5,2955,24210,581
D
+9.4%
6,6685,51712,296
D
+31.3%
6,6853,45310,322
D
+15.0%
5,7024,18310,115
R
−13.6%
3,9415,1849,159
R
−19.4%
2,3553,9648,283
R
−24.5%
3,0355,0718,317
D
+14.7%
5,4374,0079,708
O
+13.1%
1,9561,2675,268
D
+3.7%
2,5572,3595,291
R
−17.4%
1,9462,8975,461
D
+16.9%
3,3352,3615,762
D
+57.5%
3,9391,0575,016
D
+1.5%
2,0932,0145,280
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
24.1%
Irish
15.9%
English
15.4%
American
5.6%
Italian
3.6%
Scottish
3.3%
French
3.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.3%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.2%
Spanish0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
11.8%
Other Christian
10.8%
Mainline Protestant
4.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.4%
Methodist
1.1%
Baptist
0.9%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Lewis and Clark County, the Helena media market blends a government-worker electorate with surrounding rural ranching precincts, producing margins that often run closer than Montana's statewide Republican lean suggests.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty-seven points in 1896 and a Republican high of twenty-nine points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eleven points.

A population of 81,132, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,494 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Helena, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/766/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Helena, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Helena, Montana voted Republican by 11.3 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 46,833 votes cast, 19,970 went Democratic and 25,249 went Republican.
What is Helena, Montana's political typology?
Akashic places Helena, Montana in the "Stable Rural Right" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 20 times, and other 1 times.
When did Helena, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Helena, Montana voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Helena, Montana?
Helena, Montana has a population of 81,132 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Helena, Montana?
Median household income in Helena, Montana is $77,494 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Helena, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Helena, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The market's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.