akashic
1876–2024
Phoenix (Prescott)·Arizona

Phoenix (Prescott) has voted Republican in nineteen straight presidential elections — R+9 in 2024.

High-desert retiree belt anchored by a fast-growing Prescott metro

1876 — 2024·38 elections
AZ
LatestR+9in 2024
TypologyDiversifying Metrocluster typology
Population5,866,7742024 ACS

Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona: Diversifying Metro market. In 2024, voted R+9%. Democratic peak: D+43 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+9MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
Population
5,866,7742024 5-year
Median household income
$84,9832024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
60.3%2024 5-year
Black
5.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
29.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+43 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+41 in 1984MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Phoenix (Prescott)
TrumpR+9
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Phoenix (Prescott), AZA map of the constituent counties of Phoenix (Prescott), AZ, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Coconino County, AZ · D+20Greenlee County, AZ · R+41Graham County, AZ · R+48La Paz County, AZ · R+44Maricopa County, AZ · R+3Gila County, AZ · R+38Navajo County, AZ · R+17Pinal County, AZ · R+22Mohave County, AZ · R+56Yavapai County, AZ · R+34
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican53.9%1,458,398
Kamala HarrisDemocratic44.7%1,211,154
OtherAll other candidates1.4%37,102
D+60
R+60
10 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −9.1% in 2024.flipped R · 1952−9.1%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892No data
1896No data
1900No data
1904No data
1908No data
1912+31.0%
1916+24.3%
1920−11.0%
1924−5.4%
1928−16.2%
1932+36.8%
1936+42.8%
1940+26.4%
1944+17.2%
1948+9.7%
1952−17.0%
1956−23.2%
1960−15.0%
1964−4.5%
1968−23.9%
1972−39.3%
1976−22.1%
1980−37.9%
1984−40.6%
1988−27.7%
1992−6.0%
1996−1.1%
2000−10.4%
2004−14.8%
2008−12.1%
2012−13.0%
2016−7.6%
2020−3.3%
2024−9.1%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−9.1%
1,211,1541,458,3982,706,654
R
−3.3%
1,274,7891,364,2012,689,628
R
−7.6%
865,6781,019,5792,035,898
R
−13.0%
760,743993,5411,792,284
R
−12.1%
766,878981,0331,770,047
R
−14.8%
644,283871,3931,529,599
R
−10.4%
493,980613,8941,156,231
R
−1.1%
471,621483,5571,053,408
R
−6.0%
376,683443,5841,117,989
R
−27.7%
307,229546,907865,636
R
−40.6%
216,400517,840742,028
R
−37.9%
163,377401,224627,363
R
−22.1%
198,261316,374534,830
R
−39.3%
126,528302,825448,161
R
−23.9%
115,136198,973350,095
R
−4.5%
162,734178,036341,033
R
−15.0%
117,222158,555275,971
R
−23.2%
76,128122,138198,500
R
−17.0%
74,649105,190179,839
D
+9.7%
63,97452,423119,132
D
+17.2%
54,98438,78094,099
D
+26.4%
64,84137,641103,082
D
+42.8%
59,51222,90685,618
D
+36.8%
54,06524,56780,184
R
−16.2%
25,95736,03862,089
R
−5.4%
18,07320,76649,759
R
−11.0%
20,16025,14845,308
D
+24.3%
22,28013,00138,205
D
+31.0%
6,8762,06315,508
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.9%
English
10.3%
Irish
9.2%
Italian
4.3%
American
4.2%
Polish
1.9%
French
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.1%
2.8%
75–84
3.1%
4.9%
65–74
5.6%
5.9%
55–64
6.2%
5.9%
45–54
6.0%
6.6%
35–44
6.3%
7.2%
25–34
6.8%
4.7%
18–24
4.4%
8.4%
5–17
8.0%
2.8%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$84,983
Phoenix (Prescott) ranks near the middle of US counties.
Phoenix (Prescott)$84,983
Arizona$79,964
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1815.3%
Working age (18–64)10.8%
Seniors (65+)10.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
76.0%
speak English only
Spanish17.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.3%
Other languages2.1%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.6%
Other Christian
15.1%
Non-Christian
2.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.7%
Mainline Protestant
1.6%
Baptist
1.5%
Methodist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Prescott-centered market draws heavily from retirement in-migration across Yavapai County, producing an older, predominantly white electorate that has consistently delivered lopsided margins in statewide contests.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-three points in 1936 and a Republican high of forty-one points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was nine points.

A population of 5,866,774, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,983 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/753/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona voted Republican by 9.1 points (R+9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,706,654 votes cast, 1,211,154 went Democratic and 1,458,398 went Republican.
What is Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona's political typology?
Akashic places Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona in the "Diversifying Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 7 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.
When did Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona?
Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona has a population of 5,866,774 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona?
Median household income in Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona is $84,983 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The market's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.