akashic
1876–2024
Butte-Bozeman·Montana

Butte-Bozeman moved 5 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

Two cities, one market — with sharply different political centers of gravity

18762024·38 elections
MT
LatestR+6in 2024
TypologyIndustrial Catholic Metrocluster typology
Population208,2192024 ACS

Butte-Bozeman, Montana: Industrial Catholic Metro market. In 2024, voted R+6%. Democratic peak: D+77 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+6MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population
208,2192024 5-year
Median household income
$83,3132024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
89.6%2024 5-year
Black
0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+77 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+23 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Butte-Bozeman
TrumpR+6
2024 presidential margin by county for Butte-Bozeman, MTA map of the constituent counties of Butte-Bozeman, MT, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Powell County, MT · R+54Jefferson County, MT · R+37Madison County, MT · R+45Beaverhead County, MT · R+43Silver Bow County, MT · D+7Gallatin County, MT · D+3Deer Lodge County, MT · D+1
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican51.2%59,817
Kamala HarrisDemocratic45.5%53,158
OtherAll other candidates3.3%3,846
D+60
R+60
7 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −5.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−5.7%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−3.0%
1896+77.0%
1900+37.4%
1904−4.7%
1908+7.2%
1912+16.2%
1916+24.8%
1920−22.9%
1924−10.4%
1928−3.9%
1932+27.3%
1936+47.4%
1940+27.3%
1944+18.4%
1948+14.2%
1952−7.1%
1956−11.6%
1960+11.0%
1964+30.4%
1968+9.5%
1972−7.5%
1976−3.8%
1980−14.5%
1984−11.1%
1988+2.6%
1992+8.6%
1996+4.6%
2000−17.8%
2004−11.8%
2008+6.9%
2012−2.3%
2016−5.3%
2020−0.6%
2024−5.7%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−5.7%
53,15859,817116,821
R
−0.6%
56,75457,441117,606
R
−5.3%
39,79544,79793,577
R
−2.3%
41,49843,51687,766
D
+6.9%
46,11039,94988,679
R
−11.8%
33,14042,27077,342
R
−17.8%
25,35637,67369,124
D
+4.6%
30,34827,27166,882
D
+8.6%
26,95021,19266,816
D
+2.6%
29,20627,71957,908
R
−11.1%
26,83733,63661,389
R
−14.5%
22,00130,73060,205
R
−3.8%
25,84627,91154,504
R
−7.5%
24,17728,24454,268
D
+9.5%
24,26519,75947,571
D
+30.4%
31,64316,74149,051
D
+11.0%
27,27221,84949,313
R
−11.6%
22,35528,19950,554
R
−7.1%
23,61227,25151,150
D
+14.2%
24,75018,35745,177
D
+18.4%
25,66917,63743,621
D
+27.3%
33,43118,98752,903
D
+47.4%
34,64812,00147,745
D
+27.3%
28,59115,87346,509
R
−3.9%
20,57322,28443,397
R
−10.4%
10,99915,10439,333
R
−22.9%
13,51622,47739,092
D
+24.8%
26,51515,52944,327
D
+16.2%
9,7055,76324,350
D
+7.2%
12,39310,50126,382
R
−4.7%
10,94312,23427,483
D
+37.4%
20,0088,94029,578
D
+77.0%
21,6212,76624,478
R
−3.0%
7,7718,41021,044
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
22.4%
Irish
16.5%
English
14.5%
American
4.7%
Italian
3.8%
Scottish
3.2%
French
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.7%
speak English only
Spanish2.1%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
13.2%
Other Christian
10.8%
Mainline Protestant
3.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.0%
Baptist
1.1%
Methodist
1.0%
Non-Christian
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Bozeman's rapid in-migration of college-educated professionals has shifted Gallatin County's margins noticeably leftward, while Butte's working-class, union-rooted electorate maintains a distinct Democratic lean unusual for rural Montana.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of seventy-seven points in 1896 and a Republican high of twenty-three points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was six points.

A population of 208,219, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,313 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Butte-Bozeman, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/754/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Butte-Bozeman, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Butte-Bozeman, Montana voted Republican by 5.7 points (R+6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 116,821 votes cast, 53,158 went Democratic and 59,817 went Republican.
What is Butte-Bozeman, Montana's political typology?
Akashic places Butte-Bozeman, Montana in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Butte-Bozeman, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Butte-Bozeman, Montana voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Butte-Bozeman, Montana?
Butte-Bozeman, Montana has a population of 208,219 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Butte-Bozeman, Montana?
Median household income in Butte-Bozeman, Montana is $83,313 — above the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Butte-Bozeman, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Butte-Bozeman, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The market's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.