Butte-Bozeman, Montana: Industrial Catholic Metro market. In 2024, voted R+6%. Democratic peak: D+77 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 208,2192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $83,3132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+23 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 51.2% | 59,817 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 45.5% | 53,158 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 3.3% | 3,846 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −3.0% |
| 1896 | +77.0% |
| 1900 | +37.4% |
| 1904 | −4.7% |
| 1908 | +7.2% |
| 1912 | +16.2% |
| 1916 | +24.8% |
| 1920 | −22.9% |
| 1924 | −10.4% |
| 1928 | −3.9% |
| 1932 | +27.3% |
| 1936 | +47.4% |
| 1940 | +27.3% |
| 1944 | +18.4% |
| 1948 | +14.2% |
| 1952 | −7.1% |
| 1956 | −11.6% |
| 1960 | +11.0% |
| 1964 | +30.4% |
| 1968 | +9.5% |
| 1972 | −7.5% |
| 1976 | −3.8% |
| 1980 | −14.5% |
| 1984 | −11.1% |
| 1988 | +2.6% |
| 1992 | +8.6% |
| 1996 | +4.6% |
| 2000 | −17.8% |
| 2004 | −11.8% |
| 2008 | +6.9% |
| 2012 | −2.3% |
| 2016 | −5.3% |
| 2020 | −0.6% |
| 2024 | −5.7% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 53,158 | 59,817 | 116,821 | ||
| R | 56,754 | 57,441 | 117,606 | ||
| R | 39,795 | 44,797 | 93,577 | ||
| R | 41,498 | 43,516 | 87,766 | ||
| D | 46,110 | 39,949 | 88,679 | ||
| R | 33,140 | 42,270 | 77,342 | ||
| R | 25,356 | 37,673 | 69,124 | ||
| D | 30,348 | 27,271 | 66,882 | ||
| D | 26,950 | 21,192 | 66,816 | ||
| D | 29,206 | 27,719 | 57,908 | ||
| R | 26,837 | 33,636 | 61,389 | ||
| R | 22,001 | 30,730 | 60,205 | ||
| R | 25,846 | 27,911 | 54,504 | ||
| R | 24,177 | 28,244 | 54,268 | ||
| D | 24,265 | 19,759 | 47,571 | ||
| D | 31,643 | 16,741 | 49,051 | ||
| D | 27,272 | 21,849 | 49,313 | ||
| R | 22,355 | 28,199 | 50,554 | ||
| R | 23,612 | 27,251 | 51,150 | ||
| D | 24,750 | 18,357 | 45,177 | ||
| D | 25,669 | 17,637 | 43,621 | ||
| D | 33,431 | 18,987 | 52,903 | ||
| D | 34,648 | 12,001 | 47,745 | ||
| D | 28,591 | 15,873 | 46,509 | ||
| R | 20,573 | 22,284 | 43,397 | ||
| R | 10,999 | 15,104 | 39,333 | ||
| R | 13,516 | 22,477 | 39,092 | ||
| D | 26,515 | 15,529 | 44,327 | ||
| D | 9,705 | 5,763 | 24,350 | ||
| D | 12,393 | 10,501 | 26,382 | ||
| R | 10,943 | 12,234 | 27,483 | ||
| D | 20,008 | 8,940 | 29,578 | ||
| D | 21,621 | 2,766 | 24,478 | ||
| R | 7,771 | 8,410 | 21,044 | ||
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Demographics
Bozeman's rapid in-migration of college-educated professionals has shifted Gallatin County's margins noticeably leftward, while Butte's working-class, union-rooted electorate maintains a distinct Democratic lean unusual for rural Montana.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of seventy-seven points in 1896 and a Republican high of twenty-three points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was six points.
A population of 208,219, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,313 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
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Butte-Bozeman, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/754/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.