akashic
1876–2024
El Paso (Las Cruces)·Texas

El Paso (Las Cruces) has voted Democratic in ten straight presidential elections — D+13 in 2024.

A binational market where the Rio Grande doubles as an international border

18762024·38 elections
TX
LatestD+13in 2024
TypologyNew Americancluster typology
Population1,100,6432024 ACS

El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas: New American market. In 2024, voted D+13%. Democratic peak: D+61 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+13MIT Election Lab
Political typology
New AmericanAkashic typology
Population
1,100,6432024 5-year
Median household income
$59,1672024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
32.0%2024 5-year
Black
3.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
79.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+61 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+21 in 1972MIT Election Lab
El Paso (Las Cruces)
HarrisD+13
2024 presidential margin by county for El Paso (Las Cruces), TXA map of the constituent counties of El Paso (Las Cruces), TX, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Hudspeth County, TX · R+47Culberson County, TX · R+17Doña Ana County, NM · D+10El Paso County, TX · D+15
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic55.9%189,687
Donald TrumpRepublican42.4%143,928
OtherAll other candidates1.7%5,616
D+60
R+60
4 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +13.5% in 2024.flipped D · 1988+13.5%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892No data
1896No data
1900No data
1904No data
1908No data
1912+43.2%
1916+17.1%
1920−9.2%
1924+39.2%
1928−5.0%
1932+52.3%
1936+61.0%
1940+41.4%
1944+45.8%
1948+39.1%
1952−15.0%
1956−11.6%
1960+8.8%
1964+24.1%
1968−0.9%
1972−21.3%
1976+0.9%
1980−13.9%
1984−14.5%
1988+3.2%
1992+13.4%
1996+25.8%
2000+15.0%
2004+10.2%
2008+28.4%
2012+27.3%
2016+36.4%
2020+30.9%
2024+13.5%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+13.5%
189,687143,928339,231
D
+30.9%
226,892118,327351,885
D
+36.4%
186,56881,669288,208
D
+27.3%
151,03885,238240,868
D
+28.4%
163,22590,566256,170
D
+10.2%
127,581103,793233,207
D
+15.0%
108,71779,764193,629
D
+25.8%
107,96161,492180,413
D
+13.4%
88,39764,108181,096
D
+3.2%
83,19377,977162,326
R
−14.5%
66,56489,333156,663
R
−13.9%
51,73869,827130,206
D
+0.9%
58,39957,353117,290
R
−21.3%
42,33965,565108,986
R
−0.9%
40,93541,75489,586
D
+24.1%
46,70928,50575,464
D
+8.8%
35,68429,90765,767
R
−11.6%
20,71226,19747,161
R
−15.0%
19,66526,59346,330
D
+39.1%
21,1389,07130,845
D
+45.8%
16,1315,27323,692
D
+41.4%
18,3117,58325,931
D
+61.0%
18,0664,31422,561
D
+52.3%
17,0955,24422,664
R
−5.0%
8,4859,38617,879
D
+39.2%
9,6304,09214,118
R
−9.2%
5,5986,74012,432
D
+17.1%
4,8053,3788,351
D
+43.2%
3,9541,2036,368
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
4.4%
English
3.0%
Irish
2.8%
American
2.5%
Italian
1.1%
French
0.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
36.7%
speak English only
Spanish61.3%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
42.1%
Other Christian
8.9%
Baptist
2.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Mainline Protestant
0.7%
Methodist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spanning El Paso and Las Cruces, this majority-Hispanic media market sits at the U.S.-Mexico boundary, producing consistently high Democratic margins at the federal level while local races often turn on turnout gaps between the two anchor cities.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of sixty-one points in 1936 and a Republican high of twenty-one points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved seventeen points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirteen points.

A population of 1,100,643, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,167 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/765/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas voted Democratic by 13.5 points (D+13), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 339,231 votes cast, 189,687 went Democratic and 143,928 went Republican.
What is El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas's political typology?
Akashic places El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas in the "New American" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 8 times, and other 0 times.
When did El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas?
El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas has a population of 1,100,643 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas?
Median household income in El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas is $59,167 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 8 went Republican. The market's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.