Duluth-Superior, Minnesota: Farm Belt market. In 2024, voted D+3%. Republican peak: R+61 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Farm BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 426,1522024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,0552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+49 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61 in 1904MIT Election Lab
| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 50.7% | 128,385 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 47.2% | 119,538 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.0% | 5,110 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +1.8% |
| 1896 | −23.1% |
| 1900 | −36.4% |
| 1904 | −61.4% |
| 1908 | −38.8% |
| 1912 | +7.0% |
| 1916 | +1.2% |
| 1920 | −36.9% |
| 1924 | −47.3% |
| 1928 | −24.4% |
| 1932 | +10.7% |
| 1936 | +47.3% |
| 1940 | +31.5% |
| 1944 | +33.3% |
| 1948 | +31.4% |
| 1952 | +15.8% |
| 1956 | +14.2% |
| 1960 | +23.0% |
| 1964 | +49.4% |
| 1968 | +37.8% |
| 1972 | +11.7% |
| 1976 | +30.7% |
| 1980 | +22.9% |
| 1984 | +28.4% |
| 1988 | +29.4% |
| 1992 | +27.7% |
| 1996 | +29.1% |
| 2000 | +19.2% |
| 2004 | +24.3% |
| 2008 | +27.3% |
| 2012 | +24.2% |
| 2016 | +3.9% |
| 2020 | +6.4% |
| 2024 | +3.5% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 128,385 | 119,538 | 253,033 | ||
| D | 131,157 | 115,102 | 251,491 | ||
| D | 110,780 | 101,739 | 231,005 | ||
| D | 143,729 | 86,694 | 235,873 | ||
| D | 151,210 | 85,265 | 241,666 | ||
| D | 151,292 | 91,541 | 245,818 | ||
| D | 122,488 | 80,695 | 217,989 | ||
| D | 115,136 | 56,779 | 200,793 | ||
| D | 116,819 | 55,963 | 220,079 | ||
| D | 131,713 | 71,370 | 204,920 | ||
| D | 141,670 | 78,676 | 222,144 | ||
| D | 129,412 | 77,074 | 228,214 | ||
| D | 140,949 | 73,269 | 220,751 | ||
| D | 110,638 | 87,118 | 201,069 | ||
| D | 130,328 | 56,501 | 195,214 | ||
| D | 150,238 | 50,722 | 201,550 | ||
| D | 129,871 | 81,202 | 211,953 | ||
| D | 112,385 | 84,386 | 197,646 | ||
| D | 114,961 | 83,408 | 200,261 | ||
| D | 118,417 | 59,349 | 188,197 | ||
| D | 118,971 | 59,124 | 179,765 | ||
| D | 134,922 | 69,504 | 207,401 | ||
| D | 135,540 | 47,275 | 186,752 | ||
| D | 82,433 | 65,154 | 162,102 | ||
| R | 51,636 | 86,653 | 143,310 | ||
| R | 5,685 | 65,404 | 126,295 | ||
| R | 24,574 | 60,695 | 98,014 | ||
| D | 24,527 | 23,844 | 55,285 | ||
| O | 12,001 | 8,828 | 45,650 | ||
| R | 11,371 | 29,041 | 45,591 | ||
| R | 5,802 | 29,239 | 38,186 | ||
| R | 11,603 | 25,579 | 38,443 | ||
| R | 15,824 | 25,521 | 42,062 | ||
| D | 14,840 | 14,260 | 32,090 | ||
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Demographics
The Duluth-Superior market straddles two states and blends historic union-labor Democratic strength in Minnesota's Iron Range with more volatile suburban and Wisconsin exurban precincts that have trended competitive in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-nine points in 1964 and a Republican high of sixty-one points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was three points.
A population of 426,152, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,055 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
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Duluth-Superior, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/676/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.