San Francisco-Oak-San Jose Media Market — Elections 1876–2024

San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California: New American market. In 2024, voted D+48%. Democratic peak: D+56 in 2016.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+48MIT Election Lab
Political typology: New AmericanAkashic typology
Population: 7,325,3812024 5-year
Median household income: $139,7312024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 38.2%2024 5-year
Black: 5.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 24.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+56 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+48 in 1924MIT Election Lab

2024 presidential election

San Francisco-Oak-San Jose

HarrisD+48

—

How it voted

Share of the 2024 vote

Kamala Harris ✓Democratic	71.9%	2,308,786
Donald TrumpRepublican	24.3%	780,757
OtherAll other candidates	3.8%	120,462

D+60

R+60

10 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1876–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1876	−3.1%
1880	+0.5%
1884	−9.6%
1888	−1.0%
1892	+4.0%
1896	−7.3%
1900	−19.3%
1904	−38.1%
1908	−28.2%
1912	+43.6%
1916	+0.6%
1920	−45.0%
1924	−47.9%
1928	−17.4%
1932	+19.5%
1936	+35.9%
1940	+13.1%
1944	+15.7%
1948	−1.6%
1952	−11.4%
1956	−10.4%
1960	+3.8%
1964	+31.3%
1968	+8.9%
1972	−0.7%
1976	+3.8%
1980	−3.6%
1984	+3.3%
1988	+17.4%
1992	+31.6%
1996	+32.4%
2000	+34.5%
2004	+40.9%
2008	+50.1%
2012	+49.4%
2016	+55.8%
2020	+55.0%
2024	+47.6%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+47.6%	2,308,786	780,757	3,210,005
2020	D	+55.0%	2,743,430	769,302	3,592,237
2016	D	+55.8%	2,270,699	564,402	3,057,148
2012	D	+49.4%	2,045,198	663,422	2,794,922
2008	D	+50.1%	2,163,130	697,030	2,924,210
2004	D	+40.9%	1,879,156	776,972	2,697,018
2000	D	+34.5%	1,559,930	721,199	2,430,342
1996	D	+32.4%	1,378,251	638,744	2,279,637
1992	D	+31.6%	1,441,543	633,955	2,555,342
1988	D	+17.4%	1,311,169	917,833	2,260,152
1984	D	+3.3%	1,138,928	1,065,680	2,233,955
1980	R	−3.6%	813,119	884,547	1,998,235
1976	D	+3.8%	933,400	862,030	1,877,648
1972	R	−0.7%	979,944	993,906	2,028,581
1968	D	+8.9%	875,091	720,390	1,730,689
1964	D	+31.3%	1,097,834	574,203	1,674,450
1960	D	+3.8%	806,256	746,445	1,558,141
1956	R	−10.4%	602,189	742,697	1,349,227
1952	R	−11.4%	568,436	715,695	1,295,021
1948	R	−1.6%	491,997	508,542	1,058,481
1944	D	+15.7%	549,870	400,379	954,712
1940	D	+13.1%	477,329	365,953	853,453
1936	D	+35.9%	480,924	224,376	714,107
1932	D	+19.5%	354,614	234,985	613,757
1928	R	−17.4%	214,592	306,173	526,923
1924	R	−47.9%	26,369	215,371	394,563
1920	R	−45.0%	75,593	230,729	344,545
1916	D	+0.6%	166,524	164,300	352,519
1912	O	+43.6%	104,716	0	240,196
1908	R	−28.2%	42,986	82,650	140,881
1904	R	−38.1%	34,440	85,572	134,337
1900	R	−19.3%	47,419	71,304	123,810
1896	R	−7.3%	55,517	64,398	122,461
1892	D	+4.0%	53,200	48,759	110,753
1888	R	−1.0%	49,086	50,078	102,526
1884	R	−9.6%	38,286	46,659	86,798
1880	D	+0.5%	36,177	35,825	73,109
1876	R	−3.1%	34,818	37,045	71,887

Demographics

2024 ACS

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

7.1%

English

6.9%

Irish

6.7%

Italian

4.3%

American

2.0%

French

1.6%

Polish

0.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

2024 ACS

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 40.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.4%

2.3%

75–84

2.8%

4.6%

65–74

5.2%

6.3%

55–64

6.3%

6.7%

45–54

6.5%

7.6%

35–44

7.2%

7.8%

25–34

7.2%

4.0%

18–24

3.9%

7.5%

5–17

7.1%

2.6%

2.5%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Median household income

Inflation-adjusted dollars

$139,731

San Francisco-Oak-San Jose ranks near the middle of US counties.

San Francisco-Oak-San Jose$139,731

California$99,122

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

8.6%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 188.6%

Working age (18–64)8.2%

Seniors (65+)11.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

55.8%

speak English only

Asian & Pacific Islander18.2%

Spanish17.0%

Other Indo-European7.6%

Other languages1.3%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

2020 religion census

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

23.5%

Other Christian

6.4%

Non-Christian

5.3%

Baptist

1.7%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.4%

Mainline Protestant

1.3%

Methodist

0.8%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Bay Area DMA anchors one of the nation's most lopsided presidential margins, routinely delivering 80-plus-point Democratic advantages, yet its sheer ad-buy cost makes it a rare target for competitive spending.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty-six points in 2016 and a Republican high of forty-eight points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-eight points.

A population of 7,325,381, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $139,731 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/807/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California vote in 2024?

In 2024, San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California voted Democratic by 47.6 points (D+48), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,210,005 votes cast, 2,308,786 went Democratic and 780,757 went Republican.

What is San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California's political typology?

Akashic places San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California in the "New American" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 15 times, and other 1 times.

When did San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California voted Republican was 1980.

How many people live in San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California?

San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California has a population of 7,325,381 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California?

Median household income in San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California is $139,731 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.

What is the political history of San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The market's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.

Alameda County, CA	R +57,162
Santa Clara County, CA	R +56,415
San Francisco County, CA	R +31,939

San Francisco-Oak-San Jose has voted Democratic in eleven straight presidential elections — D+48 in 2024.

Key facts

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions