SantaBarbra-SanMar-SanLuOb, California: New American market. In 2024, voted D+20%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+20MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 725,2562024 5-year
- Median household income
- $97,8832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 39.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 58.1% | 195,463 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 38.6% | 129,802 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 3.3% | 11,236 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | −7.1% |
| 1880 | −8.0% |
| 1884 | −7.4% |
| 1888 | −3.3% |
| 1892 | −6.7% |
| 1896 | +3.8% |
| 1900 | −3.3% |
| 1904 | −29.9% |
| 1908 | −19.2% |
| 1912 | +39.6% |
| 1916 | +8.1% |
| 1920 | −40.5% |
| 1924 | −49.6% |
| 1928 | −34.2% |
| 1932 | +25.4% |
| 1936 | +23.8% |
| 1940 | +9.3% |
| 1944 | +5.2% |
| 1948 | −17.0% |
| 1952 | −32.8% |
| 1956 | −25.2% |
| 1960 | −12.1% |
| 1964 | +14.3% |
| 1968 | −12.3% |
| 1972 | −14.1% |
| 1976 | −5.0% |
| 1980 | −23.7% |
| 1984 | −27.4% |
| 1988 | −11.0% |
| 1992 | +5.8% |
| 1996 | +0.2% |
| 2000 | −3.9% |
| 2004 | +1.4% |
| 2008 | +15.3% |
| 2012 | +10.6% |
| 2016 | +19.5% |
| 2020 | +23.6% |
| 2024 | +19.5% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 195,463 | 129,802 | 336,501 | ||
| D | 218,273 | 133,172 | 361,146 | ||
| D | 174,249 | 112,529 | 316,080 | ||
| D | 155,387 | 124,573 | 289,851 | ||
| D | 173,790 | 126,640 | 308,562 | ||
| D | 149,056 | 144,801 | 298,911 | ||
| R | 117,937 | 128,352 | 263,860 | ||
| D | 111,045 | 110,648 | 251,245 | ||
| D | 109,351 | 93,759 | 267,375 | ||
| R | 99,253 | 124,137 | 226,407 | ||
| R | 78,189 | 138,349 | 219,270 | ||
| R | 61,158 | 108,260 | 198,522 | ||
| R | 79,944 | 88,707 | 174,142 | ||
| R | 71,388 | 95,641 | 172,574 | ||
| R | 53,393 | 69,488 | 131,301 | ||
| D | 70,633 | 52,926 | 123,672 | ||
| R | 44,384 | 56,667 | 101,457 | ||
| R | 28,332 | 47,517 | 76,232 | ||
| R | 23,554 | 46,717 | 70,634 | ||
| R | 21,220 | 30,323 | 53,704 | ||
| D | 23,789 | 21,440 | 45,393 | ||
| D | 25,736 | 21,311 | 47,598 | ||
| D | 23,812 | 14,540 | 38,951 | ||
| D | 21,306 | 12,313 | 35,353 | ||
| R | 8,290 | 17,091 | 25,719 | ||
| R | 1,973 | 12,419 | 21,079 | ||
| R | 4,192 | 11,093 | 17,054 | ||
| D | 8,737 | 7,307 | 17,568 | ||
| O | 5,067 | 0 | 12,811 | ||
| R | 3,021 | 4,721 | 8,872 | ||
| R | 2,319 | 4,691 | 7,925 | ||
| R | 3,312 | 3,552 | 7,195 | ||
| D | 3,972 | 3,675 | 7,870 | ||
| R | 2,427 | 2,916 | 7,282 | ||
| R | 3,150 | 3,373 | 6,823 | ||
| R | 2,119 | 2,476 | 4,838 | ||
| R | 1,446 | 1,737 | 3,654 | ||
| R | 1,687 | 1,946 | 3,635 |
Demographics
Spanning three Central Coast counties, this media market blends UC Santa Barbara's student electorate with agricultural inland communities, producing countywide margins that routinely diverge from statewide Democratic baselines by 8–12 points depending on the cycle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty points in 1912 and a Republican high of fifty points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty points.
A population of 725,256, a 56% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,883 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
SantaBarbra-SanMar-SanLuOb, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/855/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.