akashic
1876–2024
Bend, OR·Oregon

Bend, OR delivered D+10 in 2024.

Fast-growing high desert city reshaping Central Oregon's electoral math

1876 — 2024·38 elections
OR
LatestD+10in 2024
TypologyRealigning Affluent Suburbcluster typology
Population206,3342024 ACS

Bend, OR, Oregon: Realigning Affluent Suburb market. In 2024, voted D+10%. Democratic peak: D+51 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+10MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Realigning Affluent SuburbAkashic typology
Population
206,3342024 5-year
Median household income
$92,7582024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
87.3%2024 5-year
Black
0.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+51 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+30 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Bend, OR
HarrisD+10
—
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic53.5%68,108
Donald TrumpRepublican43.1%54,850
OtherAll other candidates3.5%4,417
D+60
R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +10.4% in 2024.flipped D · 2020+10.4%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892No data
1896No data
1900No data
1904No data
1908No data
1912No data
1916No data
1920−19.0%
1924−29.8%
1928−24.0%
1932+25.0%
1936+50.6%
1940+29.1%
1944+19.6%
1948+0.5%
1952−29.0%
1956−13.7%
1960−3.7%
1964+37.6%
1968−6.6%
1972−9.6%
1976+2.2%
1980−19.3%
1984−24.6%
1988−6.9%
1992+0.1%
1996−8.8%
2000−17.4%
2004−14.3%
2008−0.3%
2012−6.7%
2016−3.3%
2020+8.2%
2024+10.4%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+10.4%
68,10854,850127,375
D
+8.2%
65,96255,646125,234
R
−3.3%
42,44445,69298,557
R
−6.7%
36,96142,46381,900
R
−0.3%
38,81939,06479,782
R
−14.3%
31,17941,75774,048
R
−17.4%
22,06132,13257,885
R
−8.8%
17,15121,13545,282
D
+0.1%
15,69315,65543,918
R
−6.9%
14,26416,42531,366
R
−24.6%
11,67119,32331,066
R
−19.3%
9,64115,18628,715
D
+2.2%
9,4809,05419,382
R
−9.6%
6,3197,74714,819
R
−6.6%
4,8595,59911,230
D
+37.6%
6,9473,14810,095
R
−3.7%
4,7765,1459,944
R
−13.7%
4,1025,3999,501
R
−29.0%
3,1745,7768,986
D
+0.5%
3,4993,4637,163
D
+19.6%
3,8072,5476,426
D
+29.1%
4,7752,6037,453
D
+50.6%
4,2781,2995,884
D
+25.0%
2,9621,6975,055
R
−24.0%
1,7022,8154,628
R
−29.8%
1,0152,3214,378
R
−19.0%
1,0721,6493,040
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
19.1%
English
18.0%
Irish
14.2%
Italian
4.3%
American
3.6%
Scottish
3.3%
French
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.2%
2.9%
75–84
3.1%
6.3%
65–74
7.0%
6.2%
55–64
6.8%
6.4%
45–54
6.3%
7.1%
35–44
7.2%
6.8%
25–34
6.5%
3.3%
18–24
3.1%
7.5%
5–17
6.9%
2.3%
<5
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$92,758
Bend, OR ranks near the middle of US counties.
Bend, OR$92,758
Oregon$83,011
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
8.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.0%
Working age (18–64)8.5%
Seniors (65+)6.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.6%
speak English only
Spanish5.5%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
18.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.0%
Mainline Protestant
2.0%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Baptist
0.4%
Methodist
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 70.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Bend's rapid in-migration has made Deschutes County a competitive pivot point in statewide races, shifting a once reliably Republican media market toward split-ticket patterns that neither party can take for granted.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of fifty-one points in 1936 and a Republican high of thirty points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved two points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was ten points.

A population of 206,334, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,758 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bend, OR, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/821/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Bend, OR, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bend, OR, Oregon voted Democratic by 10.4 points (D+10), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 127,375 votes cast, 68,108 went Democratic and 54,850 went Republican.
What is Bend, OR, Oregon's political typology?
Akashic places Bend, OR, Oregon in the "Realigning Affluent Suburb" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Bend, OR, Oregon last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Bend, OR, Oregon voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Bend, OR, Oregon?
Bend, OR, Oregon has a population of 206,334 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bend, OR, Oregon?
Median household income in Bend, OR, Oregon is $92,758 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Bend, OR, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bend, OR, Oregon from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The market's typology — "Realigning Affluent Suburb" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.