Butte-Silver Bow, MT
Leans Democratic — shifted 7.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 36K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 4.6% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.1% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 2.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 31.2% | 72.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.8% | 13.4% |
| Other | 3.1% | 7.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.5% | 5.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.3% | 5.5% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 57.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+7.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+14.1 |
| 2016 | Clinton+13.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+32.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+40.2 |
| 2004 | Kerry+18.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+16.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+41.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+35.6 |
Butte-Silver Bow, MT is a metro area that has a population of 35,785. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+7.0. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51.5% | 44.5% | D+7.0 | R+7.1 |
| 2020 | 55.2% | 41.1% | D+14.1 | D+0.4 |
| 2016 | 52.4% | 38.8% | D+13.6 | R+18.8 |
| 2012 | 64.8% | 32.4% | D+32.4 | R+7.9 |
| 2008 | 68.5% | 28.3% | D+40.2 | D+22.0 |
| 2004 | 57.9% | 39.7% | D+18.2 | D+2.2 |
| 2000 | 53.7% | 37.7% | D+16.0 | R+25.3 |
| 1996 | 63.4% | 22.1% | D+41.2 | D+5.6 |
| 1992 | 54.9% | 19.2% | D+35.6 | R+2.6 |
| 1988 | 68.4% | 30.2% | D+38.2 | D+13.5 |
| 1984 | 61.6% | 36.9% | D+24.8 | D+12.3 |
| 1980 | 50.2% | 37.7% | D+12.5 | R+7.8 |
| 1976 | 59.5% | 39.3% | D+20.3 | D+1.9 |
| 1972 | 57.4% | 39.0% | D+18.3 | R+18.1 |
| 1968 | 64.4% | 28.0% | D+36.4 | R+14.8 |
| 1964 | 74.2% | 22.9% | D+51.2 | D+20.7 |
| 1960 | 64.9% | 34.4% | D+30.5 | D+31.1 |
| 1956 | 49.7% | 50.3% | R+0.6 | R+13.1 |
| 1952 | 55.9% | 43.5% | D+12.4 | R+12.9 |
| 1948 | 59.6% | 34.2% | D+25.4 | — |
What defines Butte-Silver Bow, MT?
Butte-Silver Bow, MT voted solidly Democratic in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Butte-Silver Bow, MT
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silver Bow | 36K | D+7.0 | 9,386 | 8,110 | 18,226 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 33.2 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
- Swung 7.1 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Butte-Silver Bow, MT | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.1% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 4.6% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 2.0% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.4% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.1% | 12.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +54.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.2% | 72.7% | — | — | |
| 5.8% | 13.4% | — | — | |
| 3.1% | 7.1% | — | — | |
| 2.5% | 5.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 2.3% | 5.5% | — | — |
| 0.4% | 1.0% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 57.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Butte-Silver Bow, MT metro area? 35,785 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
28% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Butte-Silver Bow, MT
How competitive is Butte-Silver Bow, MT?
Do voters in Butte-Silver Bow, MT split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+7.0 | D+30.5 | 23.5pp |
| Senate vs Governor | D+30.5 | D+11.4 | 19.1pp |
| President vs Governor | D+7.0 | D+11.4 | 4.4pp |