Carroll, IA
Safe Republican — shifted 4.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 21K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 91.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 3.5% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 0.7% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 47.2% | 57.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 23.2% | 28.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.7% | 12.9% |
| Other | 1.6% | 2.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 2.0% |
| Non-religious | 17.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+41.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+37.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+31.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+6.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+3.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+10.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+4.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+10.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+3.8 |
Carroll, IA is a metro area that has a population of 20,594. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+41.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.3% | 70.1% | R+41.8 | R+4.1 |
| 2020 | 30.5% | 68.3% | R+37.8 | R+6.6 |
| 2016 | 31.0% | 62.1% | R+31.2 | R+25.0 |
| 2012 | 46.3% | 52.5% | R+6.1 | R+9.8 |
| 2008 | 51.0% | 47.3% | D+3.7 | D+13.9 |
| 2004 | 44.6% | 54.8% | R+10.2 | R+5.8 |
| 2000 | 46.6% | 51.0% | R+4.3 | R+15.1 |
| 1996 | 49.3% | 38.6% | D+10.7 | D+6.9 |
| 1992 | 40.1% | 36.3% | D+3.8 | R+14.9 |
| 1988 | 58.6% | 39.9% | D+18.7 | D+19.3 |
| 1984 | 49.2% | 49.8% | R+0.6 | D+11.0 |
| 1980 | 39.9% | 51.5% | R+11.6 | R+24.5 |
| 1976 | 55.5% | 42.6% | D+12.9 | D+10.8 |
| 1972 | 49.6% | 47.5% | D+2.1 | R+7.5 |
| 1968 | 52.3% | 42.7% | D+9.6 | R+43.5 |
| 1964 | 76.5% | 23.4% | D+53.1 | D+32.5 |
| 1960 | 60.3% | 39.7% | D+20.6 | D+27.3 |
| 1956 | 46.6% | 53.3% | R+6.7 | D+22.0 |
| 1952 | 35.6% | 64.3% | R+28.7 | R+46.4 |
| 1948 | 58.4% | 40.6% | D+17.7 | — |
What defines Carroll, IA?
Carroll, IA has been trending Republican — 36pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Carroll, IA
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carroll | 21K | R+41.8 | 3,153 | 7,814 | 11,140 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 41.8% margin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 35.7 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Carroll, IA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 91.9% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 3.5% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 0.7% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.2% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +24.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.2% | 57.1% | — | — | |
| 23.2% | 28.0% | — | — | |
| 10.7% | 12.9% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 2.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 2.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 17.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Carroll, IA metro area? 20,594 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Carroll, IA
How competitive is Carroll, IA?
Do voters in Carroll, IA split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+42.5 | R+53.4 | 10.9pp |