Champaign-Urbana, IL
Leans Democratic — 239K residents — 3 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 66.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 7.6% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 11.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 10.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.1% | 40.8% |
| Catholic | 11.0% | 27.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.4% | 18.7% |
| Other | 2.8% | 7.0% |
| Black Protestant | 2.0% | 5.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 60.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+14.5 |
| 2020 | Biden+13.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+10.0 |
| 2012 | Obama+0.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+11.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+3.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+2.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.2 |
Champaign-Urbana, IL is a metro area that has a population of 238,842. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+14.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56.0% | 41.5% | D+14.5 | D+0.6 |
| 2020 | 55.3% | 41.4% | D+13.9 | D+3.8 |
| 2016 | 50.6% | 40.6% | D+10.0 | D+9.3 |
| 2012 | 48.8% | 48.1% | D+0.7 | R+11.1 |
| 2008 | 54.8% | 43.0% | D+11.8 | D+15.1 |
| 2004 | 47.8% | 51.1% | R+3.3 | R+1.0 |
| 2000 | 46.6% | 49.0% | R+2.3 | R+6.4 |
| 1996 | 47.5% | 43.4% | D+4.0 | R+4.2 |
| 1992 | 44.7% | 36.5% | D+8.2 | D+16.8 |
| 1988 | 45.3% | 53.9% | R+8.6 | D+12.6 |
| 1984 | 39.1% | 60.3% | R+21.1 | D+1.2 |
| 1980 | 31.4% | 53.8% | R+22.4 | R+8.7 |
| 1976 | 42.0% | 55.7% | R+13.6 | D+7.2 |
| 1972 | 39.4% | 60.2% | R+20.8 | R+1.7 |
| 1968 | 36.2% | 55.3% | R+19.1 | R+24.3 |
| 1964 | 52.6% | 47.4% | D+5.3 | D+30.3 |
| 1960 | 37.0% | 62.1% | R+25.1 | D+10.9 |
| 1956 | 32.0% | 68.0% | R+36.0 | R+0.9 |
| 1952 | 32.4% | 67.4% | R+35.0 | R+8.8 |
| 1948 | 35.9% | 62.2% | R+26.3 | — |
What defines Champaign-Urbana, IL?
Champaign-Urbana, IL has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 14pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Champaign-Urbana, IL
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- The 2012 election was decided by just 0.7 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
Who Lives Here
| Group | Champaign-Urbana, IL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 66.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 11.9% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 10.1% | 6.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 7.6% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -17.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.1% | 40.8% | — | — | |
| 11.0% | 27.9% | — | — | |
| 7.4% | 18.7% | — | — | |
| 2.8% | 7.0% | — | — | |
| 2.0% | 5.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.7% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 60.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Champaign-Urbana, IL metro area? 238,842 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
44% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Champaign-Urbana, IL
How competitive is Champaign-Urbana, IL?
Do voters in Champaign-Urbana, IL split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | D+13.5 | D+11.4 | 2.1pp |