Fergus Falls, MN
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 60K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 90.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 1.1% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 21.8% | 39.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 21.3% | 38.3% |
| Catholic | 12.1% | 21.6% |
| Other | 0.6% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 44.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+34.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+32.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+35.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+21.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+12.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+23.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+25.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+5.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+7.1 |
Fergus Falls, MN is a metro area that has a population of 60,475. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+34.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32.0% | 66.1% | R+34.1 | R+1.6 |
| 2020 | 32.9% | 65.4% | R+32.5 | D+3.2 |
| 2016 | 28.7% | 64.4% | R+35.7 | R+14.5 |
| 2012 | 38.4% | 59.6% | R+21.1 | R+8.2 |
| 2008 | 42.4% | 55.3% | R+12.9 | D+11.0 |
| 2004 | 37.4% | 61.3% | R+23.9 | D+1.1 |
| 2000 | 34.5% | 59.5% | R+25.0 | R+20.0 |
| 1996 | 40.7% | 45.7% | R+5.0 | D+2.1 |
| 1992 | 34.4% | 41.5% | R+7.1 | D+7.7 |
| 1988 | 42.2% | 57.0% | R+14.8 | D+8.5 |
| 1984 | 38.0% | 61.3% | R+23.3 | R+0.4 |
| 1980 | 34.8% | 57.7% | R+22.9 | R+21.9 |
| 1976 | 48.5% | 49.4% | R+0.9 | D+25.0 |
| 1972 | 36.3% | 62.2% | R+25.9 | R+1.4 |
| 1968 | 35.7% | 60.3% | R+24.6 | R+21.9 |
| 1964 | 48.6% | 51.3% | R+2.7 | D+23.4 |
| 1960 | 36.9% | 62.9% | R+26.1 | D+5.9 |
| 1956 | 33.9% | 65.9% | R+32.0 | D+18.5 |
| 1952 | 24.6% | 75.0% | R+50.4 | R+25.2 |
| 1948 | 36.0% | 61.3% | R+25.2 | — |
What defines Fergus Falls, MN?
Fergus Falls, MN voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
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Counties in Fergus Falls, MN
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otter Tail | 60K | R+34.1 | 11,752 | 24,276 | 36,736 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 36,736
Ask the Historian
Explore Fergus Falls, MN's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 34.1% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 22.8 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Fergus Falls, MN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 90.5% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 4.0% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.7% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 1.1% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
55.8%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -22.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.8% | 39.1% | — | — | |
| 21.3% | 38.3% | — | — | |
| 12.1% | 21.6% | — | — | |
| 0.6% | 1.0% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 44.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Fergus Falls, MN metro area? 60,475 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
60K
Share of U.S. population
0.02%
Voting-age population
76.1%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$72,255
Poverty rate
8.7%
College degree
28.3%
Homeownership
79.5%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
46.2 yrs
Age 18–29
11.1%
Age 65+
25.4%
Foreign born
3.0%
Non-English at home
4.6%
English only
95.4%
Turnout in Fergus Falls, MN
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
79.8%
+0.7pp
46,031
1988–2024
How competitive is Fergus Falls, MN?
Safe RAvg margin: R+34.1 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+12.9
2012
R+21.1
2016
R+35.7
2020
R+32.5
2024
R+34.1
22.8pp
0
R+27.3
Do voters in Fergus Falls, MN split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (43/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+34.1 | R+19.3 | 14.8pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 11.1pp
Located In
Fergus Falls, MN sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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