Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
Safe Republican — shifted 6.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 154K residents — 2 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 3.5% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 11.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 48.7% | 77.7% |
| Black Protestant | 5.7% | 9.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.6% | 9.0% |
| Catholic | 1.7% | 2.8% |
| Other | 1.0% | 1.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 37.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+49.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+42.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+43.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+26.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+25.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+16.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+6.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+2.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.3 |
Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL is a metro area that has a population of 153,852. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+49.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24.7% | 74.0% | R+49.4 | R+6.9 |
| 2020 | 28.0% | 70.5% | R+42.5 | D+0.7 |
| 2016 | 27.2% | 70.4% | R+43.2 | R+16.4 |
| 2012 | 35.8% | 62.6% | R+26.7 | R+1.7 |
| 2008 | 36.6% | 61.7% | R+25.1 | R+8.5 |
| 2004 | 41.3% | 57.9% | R+16.6 | R+9.9 |
| 2000 | 45.5% | 52.2% | R+6.7 | R+9.6 |
| 1996 | 47.0% | 44.1% | D+2.9 | R+8.4 |
| 1992 | 50.1% | 38.8% | D+11.3 | D+5.6 |
| 1988 | 52.2% | 46.5% | D+5.7 | D+7.7 |
| 1984 | 48.1% | 50.1% | R+2.0 | R+24.9 |
| 1980 | 59.1% | 36.2% | D+22.9 | R+16.6 |
| 1976 | 68.8% | 29.2% | D+39.6 | D+82.4 |
| 1972 | 27.1% | 69.9% | R+42.8 | R+101.2 |
| 1968 | 71.9% | 13.5% | D+58.4 | D+54.5 |
| 1964 | 52.0% | 48.0% | D+3.9 | R+38.9 |
| 1960 | 70.9% | 28.1% | D+42.9 | R+14.6 |
| 1956 | 78.3% | 20.8% | D+57.5 | R+2.1 |
| 1952 | 79.7% | 20.1% | D+59.5 | D+21.8 |
| 1948 | 45.8% | 8.1% | D+37.7 | — |
What defines Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL?
Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauderdale | 96K | R+51.3 | 10,326 | 32,708 | 43,637 | 61.6% |
| Colbert | 58K | R+46.3 | 7,137 | 19,714 | 27,160 | 38.4% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 49.4% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 24.3 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 11.5% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 3.5% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -79.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.7% | 77.7% | — | — | |
| 5.7% | 9.0% | — | — | |
| 5.6% | 9.0% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 2.8% | — | — | |
| 1.0% | 1.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.6% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 37.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL metro area? 153,852 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
How competitive is Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL?
Do voters in Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+53.3 | R+57.3 | 4.0pp |