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Greenville, OH

Greenville, OH

Latest: 2024↓ R+1.7 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 52K residents — 1 counties

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Race & ancestry
Group%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
94.6%
▶Hispanic / Latino(7)
1.9%
▶Black / African American(3)
0.6%
▶Asian(4)
0.6%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)
0.2%
Multiracial / Other
2.4%
View full demographics →
Religious adherence
Tradition% Pop% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant22.0%47.8%
Catholic12.4%26.9%
Mainline Protestant8.1%17.5%
Black Protestant1.9%4.2%
Other1.7%3.6%
LDS (Mormon)0.9%2.0%
Non-religious53.9%—
View full religion →
Presidential results
YearResult
2024Trump+65.4
2020Trump+63.7
2016Trump+60.2
2012Romney+44.4
2008McCain+36.1
2004Bush+39.8
2000Bush+30.4
1996Dole+8.4
1992Bush+16.7
View full election history →

Greenville, OH is a metro area that has a population of 51,594. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+65.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Greenville, OH Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202417.0%82.3%R+65.4R+1.7
202017.4%81.1%R+63.7R+3.5
201617.3%77.5%R+60.2R+15.8
201226.8%71.2%R+44.4R+8.3
200830.8%66.9%R+36.1D+3.7
200429.8%69.6%R+39.8R+9.3
200033.3%63.7%R+30.4R+22.0
199638.5%46.9%R+8.4D+8.3
199228.7%45.4%R+16.7D+20.0
198831.2%67.9%R+36.7D+9.8
198426.2%72.8%R+46.6R+23.2
198034.8%58.2%R+23.4R+15.8
197645.1%52.7%R+7.6D+27.1
197231.0%65.7%R+34.7R+17.2
196836.3%53.8%R+17.5R+35.8
196459.2%40.8%D+18.3D+47.4
196035.5%64.5%R+29.1D+1.5
195634.7%65.3%R+30.6R+2.1
195235.7%64.3%R+28.6R+27.5
194849.3%50.3%R+1.0—
Political Identity

What defines Greenville, OH?

Greenville, OH has been trending Republican — 21pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer
Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Greenville, OH

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Darke52K
R+65.4
4,58322,23427,002100.0%
1 countiesTotal votes: 27,002
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Greenville, OH's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
  • Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 65.4% margin
  • Shifted 21.0 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Greenville, OHCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 94.6%Multiracial 2.4%Hispanic 1.9%Asian 0.6%Black 0.6%
GroupGreenville, OHNational
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
94.6%57.4%
Multiracial / Other
2.4%4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(7)
1.9%19.3%
▶Asian(4)
0.6%6.0%
▶Black / African American(3)
0.6%12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)
0.2%0.9%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
46.1%(23.8K people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -25.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Evangelical Protestant
22.0%47.8%——
Catholic
12.4%26.9%——
Mainline Protestant
8.1%17.5%——
Black Protestant
1.9%4.2%——
Other
1.7%3.6%——
LDS (Mormon)
0.9%2.0%——
Non-religiousPopulation
53.9%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Greenville, OH metro area? 51,594 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Greenville, OH vs National52K residents

16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 17pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
52K
local
52KNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.02%
local
0.02%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
75.3%
local
75.3%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$64,486
local
$64,486National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
11.0%
local
11.0%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
16.5%
local
16.5%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
72.4%
local
72.4%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
41.8 yrs
local
41.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
13.2%
local
13.2%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
20.5%
local
20.5%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
1.0%
local
1.0%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
1.8%
local
1.8%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
98.2%
local
98.2%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Greenville, OH

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
69.5%
vs Previous
-0.4pp
Voting-Age Pop
38,837
History
1988–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is Greenville, OH?

Safe RAvg margin: R+63.1 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+36.1
2012
R+44.4
2016
R+60.2
2020
R+63.7
2024
R+65.4
Elasticity
29.3pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
R+53.9
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Greenville, OH split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyHeavy splitting (27/100)
2024 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
President vs SenateR+65.4R+56.88.6pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 13.4pp
Containing Geography

Located In

Greenville, OH sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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