Hermiston-Pendleton, OR
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 92K residents — 2 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 60.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 31.3% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 0.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 2.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 14.3% | 36.1% |
| Catholic | 14.2% | 35.8% |
| Other | 8.3% | 21.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 7.0% | 17.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.6% | 6.6% |
| Black Protestant | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 60.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+38.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+33.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+34.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+28.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+23.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+31.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+27.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+3.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.4 |
Hermiston-Pendleton, OR is a metro area that has a population of 92,240. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+38.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.9% | 67.8% | R+38.9 | R+5.4 |
| 2020 | 31.7% | 65.1% | R+33.5 | D+1.4 |
| 2016 | 27.4% | 62.3% | R+34.9 | R+6.3 |
| 2012 | 33.9% | 62.5% | R+28.6 | R+5.4 |
| 2008 | 36.8% | 60.0% | R+23.2 | D+8.1 |
| 2004 | 33.6% | 65.0% | R+31.4 | R+3.8 |
| 2000 | 33.8% | 61.4% | R+27.6 | R+24.0 |
| 1996 | 41.1% | 44.6% | R+3.6 | R+2.2 |
| 1992 | 34.4% | 35.8% | R+1.4 | D+8.1 |
| 1988 | 44.2% | 53.7% | R+9.5 | D+16.9 |
| 1984 | 36.7% | 63.1% | R+26.4 | R+2.1 |
| 1980 | 33.1% | 57.4% | R+24.3 | R+18.0 |
| 1976 | 44.8% | 51.2% | R+6.3 | D+17.2 |
| 1972 | 33.9% | 57.4% | R+23.5 | R+8.0 |
| 1968 | 39.2% | 54.7% | R+15.5 | R+44.0 |
| 1964 | 64.1% | 35.7% | D+28.5 | D+35.1 |
| 1960 | 46.7% | 53.3% | R+6.6 | D+4.6 |
| 1956 | 44.4% | 55.6% | R+11.3 | D+8.5 |
| 1952 | 40.0% | 59.8% | R+19.8 | R+21.7 |
| 1948 | 50.3% | 48.4% | D+1.9 | — |
What defines Hermiston-Pendleton, OR?
It has a working-class electorate (17% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Counties in Hermiston-Pendleton, OR
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Hermiston-Pendleton, OR's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 38.9% margin
- College attainment is 17% — 16pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 60.3% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 31.3% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 2.7% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 0.7% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
39.5%
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.3% | 36.1% | — | — | |
| 14.2% | 35.8% | — | — | |
| 8.3% | 21.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 7.0% | 17.8% | — | — |
| 2.6% | 6.6% | — | — | |
| 0.2% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 60.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Hermiston-Pendleton, OR metro area? 92,240 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
92K
Share of U.S. population
0.03%
Voting-age population
70.7%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$68,739
Poverty rate
12.0%
College degree
17.2%
Homeownership
68.4%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
36.8 yrs
Age 18–29
15.9%
Age 65+
16.4%
Foreign born
11.9%
Non-English at home
24.6%
English only
75.4%
Turnout in Hermiston-Pendleton, OR
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
55.1%
-3.4pp
65,249
1988–2024
How competitive is Hermiston-Pendleton, OR?
Safe RAvg margin: R+35.8 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+23.2
2012
R+28.6
2016
R+34.9
2020
R+33.5
2024
R+38.9
15.7pp
0
R+31.8
Do voters in Hermiston-Pendleton, OR split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+36.1 | R+50.2 | 14.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 21.9pp
Located In
Hermiston-Pendleton, OR sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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