Lake City, FL
Safe Republican — shifted 5.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 72K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 70.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 7.9% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 16.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 43.9% | 79.4% |
| Black Protestant | 3.0% | 5.5% |
| Catholic | 3.0% | 5.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.8% | 5.0% |
| Other | 2.6% | 4.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 2.7% |
| Non-religious | 44.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+50.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+45.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+44.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+36.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+33.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+34.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+21.2 |
| 1996 | Dole+5.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.4 |
Lake City, FL is a metro area that has a population of 71,789. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+50.2. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24.6% | 74.7% | R+50.2 | R+5.0 |
| 2020 | 27.0% | 72.1% | R+45.2 | R+0.7 |
| 2016 | 26.5% | 71.0% | R+44.5 | R+7.9 |
| 2012 | 31.1% | 67.7% | R+36.6 | R+2.9 |
| 2008 | 32.5% | 66.2% | R+33.7 | D+1.3 |
| 2004 | 32.1% | 67.1% | R+34.9 | R+13.8 |
| 2000 | 38.1% | 59.2% | R+21.2 | R+15.7 |
| 1996 | 41.0% | 46.5% | R+5.5 | D+1.0 |
| 1992 | 37.0% | 43.4% | R+6.4 | D+24.5 |
| 1988 | 34.2% | 65.1% | R+30.9 | D+3.9 |
| 1984 | 32.6% | 67.4% | R+34.8 | R+35.1 |
| 1980 | 48.8% | 48.4% | D+0.3 | R+25.1 |
| 1976 | 62.1% | 36.7% | D+25.4 | D+85.7 |
| 1972 | 19.8% | 80.2% | R+60.3 | R+63.0 |
| 1968 | 23.8% | 21.1% | D+2.7 | D+14.8 |
| 1964 | 43.9% | 56.1% | R+12.1 | R+39.8 |
| 1960 | 63.8% | 36.2% | D+27.7 | D+0.1 |
| 1956 | 63.7% | 36.1% | D+27.6 | D+5.0 |
| 1952 | 61.3% | 38.7% | D+22.5 | R+14.8 |
| 1948 | 53.9% | 16.6% | D+37.3 | — |
What defines Lake City, FL?
Lake City, FL has been trending Republican — 14pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (17% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Lake City, FL
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia | 72K | R+50.2 | 8,250 | 25,108 | 33,592 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 50.2% margin
- Shifted 13.6 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Lake City, FL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 70.3% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 16.3% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 7.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.3% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.0% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -78.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.9% | 79.4% | — | — | |
| 3.0% | 5.5% | — | — | |
| 3.0% | 5.4% | — | — | |
| 2.8% | 5.0% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 4.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 2.7% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 44.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Lake City, FL metro area? 71,789 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Lake City, FL
How competitive is Lake City, FL?
Do voters in Lake City, FL split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+50.2 | R+48.4 | 1.7pp |