Mexico, MO
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 25K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 3.2% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 4.5% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 29.8% | 56.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.8% | 20.6% |
| Catholic | 8.1% | 15.4% |
| Black Protestant | 2.0% | 3.7% |
| Other | 1.9% | 3.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 2.6% |
| Non-religious | 47.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+47.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+47.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+43.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+26.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+16.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+18.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+7.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+7.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.8 |
Mexico, MO is a metro area that has a population of 24,548. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+47.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25.5% | 73.2% | R+47.6 | R+0.4 |
| 2020 | 25.4% | 72.6% | R+47.2 | R+3.7 |
| 2016 | 25.4% | 68.9% | R+43.5 | R+17.0 |
| 2012 | 35.5% | 62.0% | R+26.5 | R+10.4 |
| 2008 | 41.1% | 57.2% | R+16.1 | D+2.4 |
| 2004 | 40.4% | 58.9% | R+18.5 | R+11.4 |
| 2000 | 45.6% | 52.6% | R+7.1 | R+14.6 |
| 1996 | 48.0% | 40.4% | D+7.5 | R+1.2 |
| 1992 | 44.4% | 35.6% | D+8.8 | D+7.3 |
| 1988 | 50.6% | 49.1% | D+1.5 | D+23.3 |
| 1984 | 39.1% | 60.9% | R+21.8 | R+11.8 |
| 1980 | 43.7% | 53.6% | R+10.0 | R+12.0 |
| 1976 | 50.8% | 48.7% | D+2.0 | D+34.0 |
| 1972 | 34.0% | 66.0% | R+32.0 | R+30.2 |
| 1968 | 44.4% | 46.2% | R+1.8 | R+39.9 |
| 1964 | 69.0% | 31.0% | D+38.0 | D+25.2 |
| 1960 | 56.4% | 43.6% | D+12.8 | D+0.7 |
| 1956 | 56.1% | 43.9% | D+12.1 | R+5.3 |
| 1952 | 58.6% | 41.3% | D+17.4 | R+29.0 |
| 1948 | 73.1% | 26.7% | D+46.4 | — |
What defines Mexico, MO?
It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Moberly, MO
Small-town rural republican 3
Centralia, IL
Small-town rural republican 3
Mount Vernon, IL
Small-town rural republican 3
Peru, IN
Small-town rural republican 3
Farmington, MO
Small-town rural republican 3
Price, UT
Small-town rural republican 3
Lebanon, MO
Small-town rural republican 3
Summerville, GA
Small-town rural republican 3
Counties in Mexico, MO
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrain | 25K | R+47.6 | 2,688 | 7,699 | 10,523 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 10,523
Ask the Historian
Explore Mexico, MO's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 47.6% margin
- Shifted 21.1 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Mexico, MO | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 4.5% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 3.2% | 19.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
52.6%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -45.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.8% | 56.6% | — | — | |
| 10.8% | 20.6% | — | — | |
| 8.1% | 15.4% | — | — | |
| 2.0% | 3.7% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 3.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 2.6% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 47.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Mexico, MO metro area? 24,548 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
25K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
71.7%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$59,448
Poverty rate
17.8%
College degree
16.8%
Homeownership
71.8%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
40.2 yrs
Age 18–29
14.1%
Age 65+
19.0%
Foreign born
1.4%
Non-English at home
4.9%
English only
95.1%
Turnout in Mexico, MO
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
59.8%
-0.7pp
17,605
1988–2024
How competitive is Mexico, MO?
Safe RAvg margin: R+46.1 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+16.1
2012
R+26.5
2016
R+43.5
2020
R+47.2
2024
R+47.6
31.5pp
1
R+36.2
Do voters in Mexico, MO split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (40/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+41.2 | R+49.5 | 8.2pp |
| President vs Senate | R+47.6 | R+41.2 | 6.4pp |
| President vs Governor | R+47.6 | R+49.5 | 1.9pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 11.6pp
Located In
Mexico, MO sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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