Minden, LA
Safe Republican — shifted 5.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 36K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 2.3% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 33.6% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 45.9% | 66.5% |
| Black Protestant | 11.6% | 16.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.6% | 10.9% |
| Other | 2.3% | 3.3% |
| Catholic | 1.7% | 2.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 30.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+36.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+31.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+29.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+25.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+26.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+23.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+13.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+20.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+9.5 |
Minden, LA is a metro area that has a population of 35,820. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+36.5. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.2% | 67.7% | R+36.5 | R+5.4 |
| 2020 | 33.9% | 64.9% | R+31.1 | R+2.0 |
| 2016 | 34.5% | 63.6% | R+29.1 | R+4.1 |
| 2012 | 36.9% | 61.9% | R+25.0 | D+1.3 |
| 2008 | 36.2% | 62.5% | R+26.3 | R+3.3 |
| 2004 | 37.0% | 60.0% | R+23.0 | R+10.0 |
| 2000 | 42.1% | 55.1% | R+13.0 | R+33.2 |
| 1996 | 55.3% | 35.1% | D+20.2 | D+10.7 |
| 1992 | 45.9% | 36.4% | D+9.5 | D+25.1 |
| 1988 | 41.8% | 57.3% | R+15.6 | D+14.1 |
| 1984 | 34.9% | 64.5% | R+29.7 | R+28.0 |
| 1980 | 48.6% | 50.2% | R+1.7 | D+0.1 |
| 1976 | 48.5% | 50.3% | R+1.8 | D+46.6 |
| 1972 | 23.2% | 71.5% | R+48.3 | R+51.0 |
| 1968 | 20.5% | 17.8% | D+2.7 | D+67.3 |
| 1964 | 17.7% | 82.3% | R+64.7 | R+40.3 |
| 1960 | 16.6% | 40.9% | R+24.3 | R+10.6 |
| 1956 | 34.9% | 48.7% | R+13.8 | R+27.6 |
| 1952 | 56.9% | 43.1% | D+13.8 | R+14.1 |
| 1948 | 36.5% | 8.6% | D+27.9 | — |
What defines Minden, LA?
Minden, LA has been trending Republican — 12pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (13% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Minden, LA
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Webster | 36K | R+36.5 | 5,053 | 10,965 | 16,205 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 36.5% margin
- Shifted 11.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Minden, LA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.3% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 33.6% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 2.3% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.3% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -68.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.9% | 66.5% | — | — | |
| 11.6% | 16.8% | — | — | |
| 7.6% | 10.9% | — | — | |
| 2.3% | 3.3% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 2.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 1.6% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 30.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Minden, LA metro area? 35,820 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 20pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+28 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Minden, LA
How competitive is Minden, LA?
Do voters in Minden, LA split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+31.1 | R+40.9 | 9.9pp |