How did Montgomery, AL vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Montgomery, AL voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+3.1. Kamala D Harris received 79,026 votes and Donald Trump received 84,093 out of 165,358 total votes cast, a 4.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Montgomery, AL's political history?

Montgomery, AL has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 21 and Republicans 19 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 106.7 points in 1968.

What are the demographics of Montgomery, AL?

Montgomery, AL has a population of 386,024 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 45.7% non-Hispanic white, 4.3% Hispanic, 44.6% Black. About 31% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $64,827.

Which places are most similar to Montgomery, AL?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Montgomery, AL are Jackson, MS, Macon-Bibb County, GA, Shreveport-Bossier City, LA. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Montgomery, AL

Latest: 2024↓ R+4.3 vs 2020

Competitive — shifted 4.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 386K residents — 4 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	45.7%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	4.3%
▶Black / African American(10)	44.6%
▶Asian(6)	2.3%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.2%
Multiracial / Other	2.9%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	35.4%	55.8%
Black Protestant	13.1%	20.7%
Mainline Protestant	8.7%	13.7%
Catholic	3.4%	5.3%
Other	2.8%	4.5%
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.2%
Non-religious	36.5%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+3.1
2020	Biden+1.3
2016	Trump+2.1
2012	Obama+0.3
2008	McCain+2.9
2004	Bush+15.6
2000	Bush+10.0
1996	Dole+6.4
1992	Bush+8.1

View full election history →

Montgomery, AL is a metro area that has a population of 386,024. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+3.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Montgomery, AL Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	47.8%	50.9%	R+3.1	R+4.3
2020	50.0%	48.7%	D+1.3	D+3.4
2016	48.1%	50.2%	R+2.1	R+2.3
2012	49.8%	49.5%	D+0.3	D+3.2
2008	48.2%	51.2%	R+2.9	D+12.6
2004	42.0%	57.6%	R+15.6	R+5.6
2000	44.3%	54.3%	R+10.0	R+3.6
1996	44.7%	51.1%	R+6.4	D+1.7
1992	40.8%	48.8%	R+8.1	D+12.5
1988	39.3%	59.8%	R+20.5	D+0.4
1984	39.1%	60.0%	R+20.9	R+10.3
1980	42.7%	53.3%	R+10.6	R+7.7
1976	47.8%	50.6%	R+2.9	D+42.4
1972	26.2%	71.5%	R+45.3	R+95.8
1968	62.6%	12.1%	D+50.5	D+106.7
1964	21.9%	78.1%	R+56.2	R+55.1
1960	48.9%	49.9%	R+1.0	R+2.6
1956	43.2%	41.7%	D+1.5	R+16.8
1952	58.8%	40.4%	D+18.3	R+23.8
1948	47.0%	4.9%	D+42.1	—

Political Identity

What defines Montgomery, AL?

Montgomery, AL has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a plurality-minority electorate (54% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Macon-Bibb County, GA

Rural Republican 2

R+2.4

Similarity score96%

Shreveport-Bossier City, LA

Educated rural competitive 2

New Orleans-Metairie, LA

Educated rural competitive 2

Constituent Geography

Counties in Montgomery, AL

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Montgomery	227K	D+30.6	57,946	30,477	89,798	54.3%
Elmore	90K	R+51.9	9,774	31,374	41,624	25.2%
Autauga	60K	R+46.1	7,439	20,484	28,281	17.1%
Lowndes	10K	D+37.3	3,867	1,758	5,655	3.4%

4 countiesTotal votes: 165,358

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Montgomery, AL's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Montgomery, AL metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

The 2012 election was decided by just 0.3 points — razor-thin
Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
Turnout decreased by 3.3 percentage points since the previous presidential election

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Montgomery, ALCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 45.7%Black 44.6%Hispanic 4.3%Multiracial 2.9%Asian 2.3%

Group	Montgomery, AL	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	45.7%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(10)	44.6%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	4.3%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.9%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	2.3%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.2%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

63.5%(245.1K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -55.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	35.4%	55.8%	—	—
Black Protestant	13.1%	20.7%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	8.7%	13.7%	—	—
Catholic	3.4%	5.3%	—	—
Other	2.8%	4.5%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.2%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	36.5%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Montgomery, AL metro area? 386,024 residents across 4 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Montgomery, AL vs National386K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

386K

local

386KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.12%

local

0.12%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.2%

local

73.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$64,827

local

$64,827National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.6%

local

16.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

31.0%

local

31.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

65.4%

local

65.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.1 yrs

local

38.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.6%

local

15.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.4%

local

16.4%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.2%

local

4.2%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.5%

local

5.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.5%

local

94.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Montgomery, AL

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

58.5%

vs Previous

-3.3pp

Voting-Age Pop

282,761

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Montgomery, AL?

TossupAvg margin: R+1.3 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+2.9

2012

D+0.3

2016

R+2.1

2020

D+1.3

2024

R+3.1

Elasticity

4.3pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+1.3

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Montgomery, AL split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+11.8	R+14.4	2.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 18.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Montgomery, AL sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Alabama(State)

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