Mount Sterling, KY
Safe Republican — shifted 6.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 47K residents — 3 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 92.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 2.9% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.0% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 29.3% | 77.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.8% | 15.4% |
| Other | 1.2% | 3.3% |
| Catholic | 1.0% | 2.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 2.0% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 62.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+49.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+43.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+41.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+21.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+9.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+4.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+6.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+14.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+20.2 |
Mount Sterling, KY is a metro area that has a population of 47,476. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+49.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24.5% | 74.0% | R+49.5 | R+6.2 |
| 2020 | 27.6% | 70.9% | R+43.3 | R+2.2 |
| 2016 | 27.7% | 68.8% | R+41.1 | R+19.6 |
| 2012 | 38.4% | 59.9% | R+21.4 | R+12.1 |
| 2008 | 44.5% | 53.8% | R+9.3 | R+5.2 |
| 2004 | 47.5% | 51.7% | R+4.1 | D+2.7 |
| 2000 | 45.7% | 52.5% | R+6.9 | R+21.0 |
| 1996 | 51.3% | 37.2% | D+14.2 | R+6.0 |
| 1992 | 51.8% | 31.6% | D+20.2 | D+15.6 |
| 1988 | 52.1% | 47.5% | D+4.6 | D+16.7 |
| 1984 | 43.7% | 55.7% | R+12.0 | R+26.2 |
| 1980 | 56.0% | 41.8% | D+14.2 | R+17.1 |
| 1976 | 65.2% | 33.9% | D+31.3 | D+49.1 |
| 1972 | 40.5% | 58.4% | R+17.9 | R+11.9 |
| 1968 | 36.7% | 42.6% | R+5.9 | R+45.8 |
| 1964 | 69.9% | 30.0% | D+39.9 | D+35.0 |
| 1960 | 52.4% | 47.6% | D+4.9 | R+5.6 |
| 1956 | 55.1% | 44.6% | D+10.5 | R+7.5 |
| 1952 | 58.9% | 40.9% | D+18.0 | R+18.6 |
| 1948 | 67.3% | 30.7% | D+36.6 | — |
What defines Mount Sterling, KY?
Mount Sterling, KY has been trending Republican — 28pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Mount Sterling, KY
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montgomery | 28K | R+46.6 | 3,329 | 9,302 | 12,821 | 59.6% |
| Bath | 13K | R+51.3 | 1,278 | 4,041 | 5,389 | 25.1% |
| Menifee | 6K | R+57.6 | 664 | 2,563 | 3,294 | 15.3% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 49.5% margin
- Shifted 28.0 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Mount Sterling, KY | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 92.9% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 2.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.0% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.3% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -79.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.3% | 77.7% | — | — | |
| 5.8% | 15.4% | — | — | |
| 1.2% | 3.3% | — | — | |
| 1.0% | 2.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 2.0% | — | — |
| 0.3% | 0.9% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 62.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Mount Sterling, KY metro area? 47,476 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Mount Sterling, KY
How competitive is Mount Sterling, KY?
Do voters in Mount Sterling, KY split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+43.3 | R+33.8 | 9.5pp |