Rochelle, IL
Safe Republican — shifted 3.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 51K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 83.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 11.9% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 1.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 24.7% | 51.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 11.9% | 25.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.8% | 20.5% |
| Other | 1.3% | 2.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.9% |
| Non-religious | 52.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+29.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+25.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+26.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+16.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+7.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+24.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+22.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+15.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+12.4 |
Rochelle, IL is a metro area that has a population of 51,495. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+29.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34.4% | 63.8% | R+29.3 | R+3.4 |
| 2020 | 35.8% | 61.7% | R+25.9 | D+0.2 |
| 2016 | 33.3% | 59.3% | R+26.0 | R+9.3 |
| 2012 | 40.7% | 57.4% | R+16.7 | R+9.1 |
| 2008 | 45.1% | 52.7% | R+7.6 | D+16.9 |
| 2004 | 37.4% | 61.9% | R+24.5 | R+1.8 |
| 2000 | 37.5% | 60.2% | R+22.7 | R+7.5 |
| 1996 | 36.9% | 52.1% | R+15.2 | R+2.8 |
| 1992 | 32.4% | 44.8% | R+12.4 | D+22.1 |
| 1988 | 32.4% | 66.9% | R+34.5 | D+12.8 |
| 1984 | 26.1% | 73.4% | R+47.3 | R+2.4 |
| 1980 | 21.6% | 66.4% | R+44.9 | R+19.0 |
| 1976 | 36.3% | 62.2% | R+25.9 | D+22.0 |
| 1972 | 25.9% | 73.9% | R+47.9 | R+3.9 |
| 1968 | 24.9% | 69.0% | R+44.0 | R+23.8 |
| 1964 | 39.9% | 60.1% | R+20.3 | D+26.5 |
| 1960 | 26.6% | 73.4% | R+46.8 | D+9.8 |
| 1956 | 21.7% | 78.3% | R+56.6 | R+0.9 |
| 1952 | 22.1% | 77.8% | R+55.7 | R+12.9 |
| 1948 | 28.4% | 71.2% | R+42.8 | — |
What defines Rochelle, IL?
Rochelle, IL voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Rochelle, IL
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogle | 51K | R+29.3 | 8,883 | 16,450 | 25,799 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 29.3% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 21.7 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Rochelle, IL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 83.0% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 11.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 1.2% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +26.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.7% | 51.8% | — | — | |
| 11.9% | 25.0% | — | — | |
| 9.8% | 20.5% | — | — | |
| 1.3% | 2.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.9% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 52.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Rochelle, IL metro area? 51,495 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Rochelle, IL
How competitive is Rochelle, IL?
Do voters in Rochelle, IL split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+26.7 | R+30.1 | 3.4pp |