Sedalia, MO
Safe Republican — 43K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 82.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 9.9% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 2.5% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 33.2% | 63.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.9% | 19.0% |
| Catholic | 6.9% | 13.2% |
| Other | 1.6% | 3.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 47.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+48.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+47.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+46.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+28.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+22.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+33.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+23.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+8.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+9.2 |
Sedalia, MO is a metro area that has a population of 43,397. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+48.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24.9% | 73.7% | R+48.7 | R+1.2 |
| 2020 | 25.0% | 72.5% | R+47.5 | R+0.9 |
| 2016 | 23.8% | 70.4% | R+46.6 | R+17.9 |
| 2012 | 34.4% | 63.1% | R+28.8 | R+6.4 |
| 2008 | 38.0% | 60.3% | R+22.4 | D+10.8 |
| 2004 | 33.2% | 66.3% | R+33.2 | R+9.8 |
| 2000 | 37.2% | 60.5% | R+23.3 | R+15.0 |
| 1996 | 39.7% | 48.1% | R+8.4 | D+0.8 |
| 1992 | 32.3% | 41.4% | R+9.2 | D+18.2 |
| 1988 | 36.1% | 63.5% | R+27.4 | D+6.6 |
| 1984 | 33.0% | 67.0% | R+34.0 | R+19.1 |
| 1980 | 40.9% | 55.8% | R+14.9 | R+18.4 |
| 1976 | 51.6% | 48.0% | D+3.5 | D+37.0 |
| 1972 | 33.3% | 66.7% | R+33.5 | R+30.7 |
| 1968 | 43.3% | 46.1% | R+2.8 | R+27.6 |
| 1964 | 62.4% | 37.6% | D+24.9 | D+37.7 |
| 1960 | 43.6% | 56.4% | R+12.9 | R+2.3 |
| 1956 | 44.7% | 55.3% | R+10.6 | D+0.8 |
| 1952 | 44.3% | 55.7% | R+11.4 | R+22.9 |
| 1948 | 55.7% | 44.2% | D+11.5 | — |
What defines Sedalia, MO?
Sedalia, MO has been trending Republican — 20pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Sedalia, MO
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pettis | 43K | R+48.7 | 4,703 | 13,907 | 18,882 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 48.7% margin
- Shifted 20.0 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Sedalia, MO | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 82.1% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 9.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 2.5% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -54.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.2% | 63.6% | — | — | |
| 9.9% | 19.0% | — | — | |
| 6.9% | 13.2% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 3.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.5% | — | — |
| 0.6% | 1.1% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 47.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Sedalia, MO metro area? 43,397 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Sedalia, MO
How competitive is Sedalia, MO?
Do voters in Sedalia, MO split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+42.9 | R+50.4 | 7.5pp |
| President vs Senate | R+48.7 | R+42.9 | 5.8pp |
| President vs Governor | R+48.7 | R+50.4 | 1.7pp |