Sevierville, TN
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 100K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 85.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 9.6% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 1.2% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 45.4% | 78.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.2% | 8.9% |
| Catholic | 5.1% | 8.7% |
| Other | 1.3% | 2.2% |
| Black Protestant | 1.2% | 2.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 41.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+61.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+57.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+61.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+54.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+48.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+43.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+33.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+22.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+23.5 |
Sevierville, TN is a metro area that has a population of 99,652. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+61.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18.9% | 80.1% | R+61.1 | R+3.6 |
| 2020 | 20.0% | 77.6% | R+57.6 | D+3.9 |
| 2016 | 17.3% | 78.8% | R+61.5 | R+6.7 |
| 2012 | 21.9% | 76.7% | R+54.8 | R+6.7 |
| 2008 | 25.3% | 73.4% | R+48.1 | R+4.4 |
| 2004 | 27.8% | 71.5% | R+43.7 | R+10.0 |
| 2000 | 32.4% | 66.0% | R+33.6 | R+11.0 |
| 1996 | 34.2% | 56.8% | R+22.6 | D+0.9 |
| 1992 | 31.6% | 55.1% | R+23.5 | D+29.5 |
| 1988 | 23.3% | 76.3% | R+53.0 | D+4.0 |
| 1984 | 21.1% | 78.0% | R+56.9 | R+7.6 |
| 1980 | 23.9% | 73.2% | R+49.4 | R+18.8 |
| 1976 | 33.8% | 64.4% | R+30.6 | D+44.0 |
| 1972 | 11.8% | 86.4% | R+74.6 | R+10.8 |
| 1968 | 10.9% | 74.7% | R+63.8 | R+24.8 |
| 1964 | 30.5% | 69.5% | R+39.0 | D+31.5 |
| 1960 | 14.6% | 85.1% | R+70.5 | D+3.0 |
| 1956 | 13.0% | 86.5% | R+73.5 | D+0.9 |
| 1952 | 12.8% | 87.2% | R+74.3 | R+4.2 |
| 1948 | 14.0% | 84.1% | R+70.1 | — |
What defines Sevierville, TN?
It has a working-class electorate (22% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Morristown, TN
Small-town rural republican 3
Cleveland, TN
Small-town rural republican 3
Greeneville, TN
Small-town rural republican 3
Cullman, AL
Small-town rural republican 3
Fayetteville, TN
Small-town rural republican 3
Athens, TX
Small-town rural republican 3
Somerset, KY
Small-town rural republican 3
Branson, MO
Small-town rural republican 3
Counties in Sevierville, TN
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevier | 100K | R+61.1 | 8,322 | 35,207 | 43,970 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 43,970
Ask the Historian
Explore Sevierville, TN's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 61.1% margin
- College attainment is 22% — 11pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Sevierville, TN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 85.1% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 9.6% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.3% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 1.2% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
58.2%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -73.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4% | 78.0% | — | — | |
| 5.2% | 8.9% | — | — | |
| 5.1% | 8.7% | — | — | |
| 1.3% | 2.2% | — | — | |
| 1.2% | 2.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.8% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 41.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Sevierville, TN metro area? 99,652 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
100K
Share of U.S. population
0.03%
Voting-age population
78.4%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$62,581
Poverty rate
13.5%
College degree
21.8%
Homeownership
70.7%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
43.5 yrs
Age 18–29
13.4%
Age 65+
20.4%
Foreign born
7.6%
Non-English at home
10.1%
English only
89.9%
Turnout in Sevierville, TN
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
56.3%
+0.5pp
78,089
1988–2024
How competitive is Sevierville, TN?
Safe RAvg margin: R+60.1 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+48.1
2012
R+54.8
2016
R+61.5
2020
R+57.6
2024
R+61.1
13.4pp
0
R+56.6
Do voters in Sevierville, TN split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (7/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+61.1 | R+59.4 | 1.7pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 16.2pp
Located In
Sevierville, TN sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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