Truckee-Grass Valley, CA
Leans Democratic — 102K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 10.7% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 11.7% | 41.1% |
| Catholic | 7.6% | 26.9% |
| Other | 7.3% | 25.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.1% | 7.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.7% | 6.1% |
| Non-religious | 71.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+12.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+14.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+4.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+0.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+5.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+8.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+17.5 |
| 1996 | Dole+14.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+4.3 |
Truckee-Grass Valley, CA is a metro area that has a population of 102,481. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+12.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54.4% | 42.1% | D+12.2 | R+2.6 |
| 2020 | 56.2% | 41.4% | D+14.8 | D+9.9 |
| 2016 | 47.4% | 42.5% | D+4.9 | D+5.5 |
| 2012 | 47.7% | 48.4% | R+0.6 | R+5.9 |
| 2008 | 51.4% | 46.1% | D+5.3 | D+13.8 |
| 2004 | 44.9% | 53.4% | R+8.5 | D+9.1 |
| 2000 | 37.2% | 54.8% | R+17.5 | R+2.7 |
| 1996 | 35.6% | 50.4% | R+14.8 | R+10.5 |
| 1992 | 34.9% | 39.2% | R+4.3 | D+13.0 |
| 1988 | 40.5% | 57.8% | R+17.3 | D+9.8 |
| 1984 | 35.2% | 62.4% | R+27.1 | D+1.8 |
| 1980 | 29.0% | 57.9% | R+28.9 | R+27.5 |
| 1976 | 47.0% | 48.4% | R+1.4 | D+14.3 |
| 1972 | 38.9% | 54.7% | R+15.8 | R+3.5 |
| 1968 | 39.1% | 51.4% | R+12.3 | R+25.6 |
| 1964 | 56.5% | 43.3% | D+13.2 | D+21.0 |
| 1960 | 45.7% | 53.4% | R+7.8 | D+12.0 |
| 1956 | 40.0% | 59.7% | R+19.7 | D+8.6 |
| 1952 | 35.4% | 63.7% | R+28.3 | R+28.2 |
| 1948 | 47.0% | 47.0% | Even | — |
What defines Truckee-Grass Valley, CA?
Truckee-Grass Valley, CA has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (4D, 2R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a highly educated electorate (42% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Democrats nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Truckee-Grass Valley, CA
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada | 102K | D+12.2 | 33,784 | 26,177 | 62,132 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- The 2012 election was decided by just 0.6 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2012
- College attainment is 42% — 9pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.7% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 10.7% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.0% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.8% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.4% | 12.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -18.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.7% | 41.1% | — | — | |
| 7.6% | 26.9% | — | — | |
| 7.3% | 25.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 2.1% | 7.3% | — | — |
| 1.7% | 6.1% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 71.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Truckee-Grass Valley, CA metro area? 102,481 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
42% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Truckee-Grass Valley, CA
How competitive is Truckee-Grass Valley, CA?
Do voters in Truckee-Grass Valley, CA split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+12.2 | D+8.8 | 3.5pp |