Vincennes, IN
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 36K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 3.0% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 1.7% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 20.3% | 45.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 11.5% | 25.8% |
| Catholic | 11.3% | 25.3% |
| Other | 1.3% | 2.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.1% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 55.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+50.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+47.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+46.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+28.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+6.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+27.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+14.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+3.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+0.2 |
Vincennes, IN is a metro area that has a population of 36,007. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+50.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24.0% | 74.4% | R+50.4 | R+3.0 |
| 2020 | 25.4% | 72.8% | R+47.4 | R+0.6 |
| 2016 | 24.2% | 71.0% | R+46.8 | R+17.9 |
| 2012 | 34.5% | 63.5% | R+28.9 | R+22.4 |
| 2008 | 46.1% | 52.6% | R+6.5 | D+21.1 |
| 2004 | 35.9% | 63.4% | R+27.6 | R+13.0 |
| 2000 | 42.1% | 56.6% | R+14.6 | R+18.5 |
| 1996 | 45.1% | 41.2% | D+3.9 | D+3.7 |
| 1992 | 38.9% | 38.7% | D+0.2 | D+16.8 |
| 1988 | 41.5% | 58.1% | R+16.6 | D+8.9 |
| 1984 | 36.8% | 62.3% | R+25.5 | R+13.5 |
| 1980 | 41.6% | 53.6% | R+12.0 | R+14.7 |
| 1976 | 51.0% | 48.3% | D+2.7 | D+34.9 |
| 1972 | 33.5% | 65.6% | R+32.2 | R+26.1 |
| 1968 | 41.0% | 47.0% | R+6.0 | R+30.8 |
| 1964 | 62.1% | 37.3% | D+24.8 | D+32.1 |
| 1960 | 46.1% | 53.4% | R+7.3 | D+12.7 |
| 1956 | 39.9% | 59.8% | R+20.0 | R+4.7 |
| 1952 | 42.1% | 57.3% | R+15.2 | R+26.6 |
| 1948 | 55.0% | 43.7% | D+11.3 | — |
What defines Vincennes, IN?
Vincennes, IN has been trending Republican — 21pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
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Searcy, AR
Small-town rural republican 3
Lebanon, MO
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Mount Vernon, IL
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Farmington, MO
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Peru, IN
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Wilmington, OH
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Moberly, MO
Small-town rural republican 3
Gallipolis, OH
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Counties in Vincennes, IN
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knox | 36K | R+50.4 | 3,625 | 11,236 | 15,110 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 15,110
Ask the Historian
Explore Vincennes, IN's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 50.4% margin
- Shifted 21.4 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Vincennes, IN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.4% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 3.0% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 1.7% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.9% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
44.7%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -24.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.3% | 45.3% | — | — | |
| 11.5% | 25.8% | — | — | |
| 11.3% | 25.3% | — | — | |
| 1.3% | 2.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.1% | — | — |
| 0.3% | 0.6% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 55.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Vincennes, IN metro area? 36,007 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
36K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
73.9%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$61,237
Poverty rate
13.7%
College degree
19.1%
Homeownership
67.8%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
39.0 yrs
Age 18–29
16.9%
Age 65+
19.1%
Foreign born
1.9%
Non-English at home
4.0%
English only
96.0%
Turnout in Vincennes, IN
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
56.8%
-3.3pp
26,607
1988–2024
How competitive is Vincennes, IN?
Safe RAvg margin: R+48.2 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+6.5
2012
R+28.9
2016
R+46.8
2020
R+47.4
2024
R+50.4
43.9pp
1
R+36.0
Do voters in Vincennes, IN split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+50.4 | R+42.3 | 8.1pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+47.4 | R+42.3 | 5.2pp |
| President vs Senate | R+50.4 | R+47.4 | 2.9pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 32.7pp
Located In
Vincennes, IN sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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