Warsaw, IN
Safe Republican — 80K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 85.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 9.7% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 0.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 21.3% | 63.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.4% | 16.3% |
| Catholic | 5.4% | 16.2% |
| Other | 1.1% | 3.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.7% |
| Black Protestant | 0.2% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 66.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+52.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+50.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+54.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+52.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+37.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+57.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+52.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+37.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+35.9 |
Warsaw, IN is a metro area that has a population of 80,442. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+52.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.9% | 75.1% | R+52.2 | R+1.5 |
| 2020 | 23.4% | 74.1% | R+50.7 | D+3.6 |
| 2016 | 19.5% | 73.8% | R+54.3 | R+2.2 |
| 2012 | 22.8% | 74.8% | R+52.1 | R+14.8 |
| 2008 | 30.6% | 67.9% | R+37.3 | D+19.7 |
| 2004 | 21.1% | 78.1% | R+57.0 | R+4.4 |
| 2000 | 23.0% | 75.6% | R+52.6 | R+15.4 |
| 1996 | 25.8% | 63.0% | R+37.2 | R+1.3 |
| 1992 | 21.5% | 57.4% | R+35.9 | D+17.8 |
| 1988 | 23.0% | 76.7% | R+53.7 | D+2.5 |
| 1984 | 21.6% | 77.9% | R+56.3 | R+12.5 |
| 1980 | 25.0% | 68.8% | R+43.8 | R+11.3 |
| 1976 | 33.1% | 65.6% | R+32.4 | D+25.9 |
| 1972 | 20.6% | 78.9% | R+58.3 | R+21.4 |
| 1968 | 27.1% | 64.0% | R+36.9 | R+28.0 |
| 1964 | 45.2% | 54.1% | R+8.9 | D+30.4 |
| 1960 | 29.8% | 69.1% | R+39.3 | D+4.9 |
| 1956 | 27.5% | 71.7% | R+44.2 | R+3.2 |
| 1952 | 28.0% | 68.9% | R+41.0 | R+12.5 |
| 1948 | 34.3% | 62.8% | R+28.4 | — |
What defines Warsaw, IN?
Warsaw, IN voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Warsaw, IN
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosciusko | 80K | R+52.2 | 7,995 | 26,213 | 34,896 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 52.2% margin
Who Lives Here
| Group | Warsaw, IN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 85.2% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 9.7% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 0.6% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -51.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.3% | 63.5% | — | — | |
| 5.4% | 16.3% | — | — | |
| 5.4% | 16.2% | — | — | |
| 1.1% | 3.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.7% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.6% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 66.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Warsaw, IN metro area? 80,442 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Warsaw, IN
How competitive is Warsaw, IN?
Do voters in Warsaw, IN split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+55.9 | R+44.7 | 11.2pp |
| President vs Governor | R+52.2 | R+44.7 | 7.5pp |
| President vs Senate | R+52.2 | R+55.9 | 3.7pp |