Watertown, SD
Safe Republican — 29K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 90.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 3.3% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 1.1% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Mainline Protestant | 24.1% | 37.5% |
| Catholic | 20.8% | 32.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 17.7% | 27.6% |
| Other | 1.7% | 2.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.0% |
| Non-religious | 35.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+40.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+38.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+39.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+18.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+6.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+23.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+22.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+2.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+2.2 |
Watertown, SD is a metro area that has a population of 28,767. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+40.8. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.4% | 69.2% | R+40.8 | R+1.9 |
| 2020 | 29.2% | 68.1% | R+38.9 | D+0.4 |
| 2016 | 27.2% | 66.5% | R+39.3 | R+21.0 |
| 2012 | 39.8% | 58.1% | R+18.3 | R+11.9 |
| 2008 | 45.9% | 52.3% | R+6.4 | D+16.9 |
| 2004 | 37.7% | 61.0% | R+23.3 | R+0.7 |
| 2000 | 37.6% | 60.3% | R+22.7 | R+20.2 |
| 1996 | 42.7% | 45.2% | R+2.5 | R+0.3 |
| 1992 | 33.8% | 36.0% | R+2.2 | D+2.7 |
| 1988 | 47.0% | 52.0% | R+4.9 | D+21.7 |
| 1984 | 36.5% | 63.1% | R+26.7 | R+1.1 |
| 1980 | 33.6% | 59.1% | R+25.5 | R+27.4 |
| 1976 | 50.8% | 48.9% | D+1.9 | D+5.4 |
| 1972 | 48.1% | 51.6% | R+3.5 | R+7.1 |
| 1968 | 50.1% | 46.5% | D+3.6 | R+16.1 |
| 1964 | 59.8% | 40.2% | D+19.7 | D+30.1 |
| 1960 | 44.8% | 55.2% | R+10.5 | D+5.0 |
| 1956 | 42.3% | 57.7% | R+15.4 | D+16.4 |
| 1952 | 34.1% | 65.9% | R+31.8 | R+41.1 |
| 1948 | 54.3% | 45.0% | D+9.3 | — |
What defines Watertown, SD?
It has a working-class electorate (21% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Watertown, SD
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codington | 29K | R+40.8 | 3,840 | 9,349 | 13,510 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 40.8% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 34.4 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Watertown, SD | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 90.4% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 3.3% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.9% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 1.1% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.1% | 37.5% | — | — | |
| 20.8% | 32.3% | — | — | |
| 17.7% | 27.6% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 2.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 35.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Watertown, SD metro area? 28,767 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Watertown, SD
How competitive is Watertown, SD?
Do voters in Watertown, SD split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+54.7 | R+38.5 | 16.1pp |