Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 86K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 8.5% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.4% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 24.4% | 48.5% |
| Catholic | 13.8% | 27.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.9% | 21.6% |
| Other | 1.2% | 2.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 49.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+16.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+15.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+15.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+7.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+0.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+13.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+11.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+1.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+4.5 |
Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI is a metro area that has a population of 86,003. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+16.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.0% | 57.4% | R+16.3 | R+1.1 |
| 2020 | 41.5% | 56.7% | R+15.2 | D+0.7 |
| 2016 | 38.4% | 54.3% | R+15.9 | R+8.3 |
| 2012 | 45.5% | 53.1% | R+7.6 | R+8.4 |
| 2008 | 49.7% | 48.9% | D+0.8 | D+14.7 |
| 2004 | 42.6% | 56.5% | R+13.9 | R+2.8 |
| 2000 | 42.1% | 53.2% | R+11.1 | R+12.8 |
| 1996 | 44.3% | 42.6% | D+1.7 | D+6.2 |
| 1992 | 35.3% | 39.9% | R+4.5 | D+5.0 |
| 1988 | 44.9% | 54.3% | R+9.5 | D+14.8 |
| 1984 | 37.5% | 61.8% | R+24.3 | R+8.2 |
| 1980 | 37.8% | 53.9% | R+16.1 | R+5.9 |
| 1976 | 43.7% | 53.9% | R+10.2 | D+11.4 |
| 1972 | 37.8% | 59.5% | R+21.6 | R+5.1 |
| 1968 | 38.4% | 54.9% | R+16.6 | R+37.2 |
| 1964 | 60.2% | 39.6% | D+20.6 | D+44.1 |
| 1960 | 38.2% | 61.6% | R+23.4 | D+11.2 |
| 1956 | 32.4% | 67.0% | R+34.6 | R+0.6 |
| 1952 | 32.9% | 66.9% | R+34.0 | R+27.7 |
| 1948 | 46.1% | 52.4% | R+6.3 | — |
What defines Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI?
Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Whitewater-Elkhorn, WI
Small-town rural republican 2
Red Wing, MN
Small-town rural republican 2
Fond du Lac, WI
Small-town rural republican 2
Appleton, WI
Small-town rural republican 2
Wausau, WI
Small-town rural republican 2
Baraboo, WI
Small-town rural republican 2
Gettysburg, PA
Small-town rural republican 2
Beaver Dam, WI
Small-town rural republican 2
Counties in Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson | 86K | R+16.4 | 20,574 | 28,771 | 50,146 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 50,146
Ask the Historian
Explore Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2008 election was decided by just 0.8 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
- Turnout increased by 3.3 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.0% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 8.5% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.4% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 0.9% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
50.4%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -25.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.4% | 48.5% | — | — | |
| 13.8% | 27.4% | — | — | |
| 10.9% | 21.6% | — | — | |
| 1.2% | 2.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 49.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI metro area? 86,003 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
86K
Share of U.S. population
0.03%
Voting-age population
76.5%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$83,750
Poverty rate
8.1%
College degree
28.6%
Homeownership
73.1%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
41.5 yrs
Age 18–29
16.0%
Age 65+
18.5%
Foreign born
3.7%
Non-English at home
6.3%
English only
93.7%
Turnout in Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
76.2%
+3.3pp
65,798
1988–2024
How competitive is Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI?
Safe RAvg margin: R+15.8 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+0.8
2012
R+7.6
2016
R+15.9
2020
R+15.2
2024
R+16.3
17.2pp
3
R+10.8
Do voters in Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (57/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+16.3 | R+14.8 | 1.5pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 8.9pp
Located In
Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI sits inside these higher-level geographies.
Unlock Metro Area Analytics
Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.
Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.
Precinct-Level Data
See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct
Smart Insights
Automated highlights from recent election patterns
Full Historical Access
165 years of election data at every level of geography
CSV Exports
Download any table or chart as a CSV file