Arkansas State House District 10
Leans Republican — shifted 9.6pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 31K residents
Arkansas State House District 10 is a state house district that has a population of 31,066. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+9.6. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43.6% | 53.1% | R+9.6 | D+9.6 |
| 2020* | 38.9% | 58.1% | R+19.2 | D+4.2 |
| 2016* | 33.6% | 57.0% | R+23.3 | D+14.5 |
| 2012* | 31.1% | 68.9% | R+37.8 | R+1.4 |
| 2008* | 30.6% | 67.1% | R+36.5 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines AR-HD-10?
AR-HD-10 has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 28pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Similar state house districts
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Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Shifted 28.2 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 28.2 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | AR-HD-10 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 76.6% | 67.4% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 8.9% | 9.0% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
Asian | 5.2% | 1.6% | 6.0% |
Black / African American | 1.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Who lives in Arkansas State House District 10? 31,066 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in AR-HD-10
How competitive is AR-HD-10?
Other Arkansas State House Districts
99 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| AR-HD-76 | D+73.7 |
| AR-HD-79 | D+62.8 |
| AR-HD-77 | D+58.0 |
| AR-HD-80 | D+53.2 |
| AR-HD-64 | D+51.3 |
| AR-HD-74 | D+47.2 |
| AR-HD-65 | D+47.2 |
| AR-HD-72 | D+44.7 |
| AR-HD-21 | D+44.3 |
| AR-HD-66 | D+33.3 |
| AR-HD-63 | D+25.3 |
| AR-HD-20 | D+22.1 |
| AR-HD-73 | D+18.5 |
| AR-HD-75 | D+10.8 |
| AR-HD-49 | D+9.9 |
| AR-HD-62 | D+2.2 |
| AR-HD-70 | D+1.7 |
| AR-HD-09 | D+1.2 |
| AR-HD-67 | R+0.3 |
| AR-HD-22 | R+1.9 |
| AR-HD-71 | R+2.6 |
| AR-HD-56 | R+4.7 |
| AR-HD-19 | R+6.8 |
| AR-HD-35 | R+7.9 |
| AR-HD-13 | R+9.0 |