Hawaii State House District 44
Leans Republican — shifted 27.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 28K residents
Hawaii State House District 44 is a state house district that has a population of 27,794. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+12.6. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42.8% | 55.4% | R+12.6 | R+27.2 |
| 2020* | 56.3% | 41.7% | D+14.6 | D+2.6 |
| 2016* | 51.5% | 39.5% | D+12.0 | R+29.8 |
| 2012* | 70.9% | 29.1% | D+41.8 | R+1.8 |
| 2008* | 71.2% | 27.6% | D+43.6 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines HI-HD-44?
HI-HD-44 flipped to Republicans in 2024 after voting the other way in 2020. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
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Key Insights
- Swung 27.2 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 56.3 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | HI-HD-44 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 30.7% | 10.1% | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 27.7% | 20.0% | 4.0% |
Asian | 16.8% | 36.9% | 6.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 13.3% | 9.9% | 19.3% |
White (Non-Hispanic) | 9.8% | 20.9% | 57.4% |
Black / African American | 1.4% | 1.9% | 12.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Who lives in Hawaii State House District 44? 27,794 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in HI-HD-44
How competitive is HI-HD-44?
Other Hawaii State House Districts
50 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| HI-HD-22 | D+51.4 |
| HI-HD-21 | D+43.2 |
| HI-HD-26 | D+41.2 |
| HI-HD-20 | D+40.2 |
| HI-HD-27 | D+39.4 |
| HI-HD-25 | D+39.1 |
| HI-HD-02 | D+38.8 |
| HI-HD-01 | D+37.6 |
| HI-HD-23 | D+37.6 |
| HI-HD-19 | D+35.6 |
| HI-HD-24 | D+33.3 |
| HI-HD-50 | D+32.2 |
| HI-HD-18 | D+31.9 |
| HI-HD-12 | D+31.0 |
| HI-HD-33 | D+30.9 |
| HI-HD-08 | D+29.9 |
| HI-HD-13 | D+29.2 |
| HI-HD-04 | D+28.6 |
| HI-HD-05 | D+27.1 |
| HI-HD-49 | D+27.1 |
| HI-HD-11 | D+26.8 |
| HI-HD-10 | D+26.4 |
| HI-HD-51 | D+26.4 |
| HI-HD-03 | D+24.9 |
| HI-HD-48 | D+23.6 |