How did KS-HD-51, Kansas vote in the 2024 presidential election?

KS-HD-51, Kansas voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+34.8. Kamala D Harris received 3,760 votes and Donald Trump received 7,915 out of 11,935 total votes cast, a 3.8-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is KS-HD-51, Kansas's political history?

KS-HD-51, Kansas has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 3.8 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of KS-HD-51, Kansas?

KS-HD-51, Kansas has a population of 22,839 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 85.5% non-Hispanic white, 6.1% Hispanic, 1.8% Black.

Which places are most similar to KS-HD-51, Kansas?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to KS-HD-51, Kansas are Iowa State House District 23, South Dakota State House District 20, Montana State House District 55. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Kansas State House District 51

Kansas · Latest: 2024↑ D+3.8 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 3.8pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 23K residents

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Kansas State House District 51 is a state house district that has a population of 22,839. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+34.8. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Kansas State House District 51 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	31.5%	66.3%	R+34.8	D+3.8
2020*	29.3%	68.0%	R+38.6	R+0.3
2016*	26.5%	64.8%	R+38.3	R+0.8
2012*	29.9%	67.4%	R+37.4	R+2.5
2008*	31.2%	66.2%	R+34.9	—

* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.

Political Identity

What defines KS-HD-51?

It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Iowa State House District 23IA

Suburban Republican

R+40.7

Similarity score98%

South Dakota State House District 20SD

Suburban Republican

R+40.1

Similarity score98%

Montana State House District 55MT

Suburban Republican

R+42.2

Similarity score97%

Missouri State House District 43MO

Suburban Republican

R+52.3

Similarity score97%

Arkansas State House District 54AR

Suburban Republican

R+40.9

Similarity score97%

Missouri State House District 42MO

Suburban Republican

R+50.7

Similarity score97%

Wyoming State House District 42WY

Suburban Republican

R+42.7

Similarity score97%

Kansas State House District 42KS

Suburban Republican

R+26.6

Similarity score97%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore KS-HD-51's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Kansas State House District 51 voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 34.8% margin
Turnout decreased by 67.7 percentage points since the previous presidential election

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

KS-HD-51Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 85.5%Hispanic 6.1%Multiracial 5.0%Black 1.8%Asian 1.1%Native American 0.5%

Group	KS-HD-51	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	85.5%	72.7%	57.4%
Hispanic / Latino	6.1%	13.6%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	5.0%	4.5%	4.0%
Black / African American	1.8%	5.3%	12.2%
Asian	1.1%	2.9%	6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.5%	0.8%	0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Kansas State House District 51? 22,839 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

KS-HD-51 vs Kansas vs National23K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

23K

local

23KState 2.9MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.3%

local

73.3%State 73.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $76,675National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 11.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 35.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 67.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 37.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 16.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.0%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 7.4%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 12.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 87.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in KS-HD-51

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

71.3%

vs Previous

-67.7pp

Voting-Age Pop

16,750

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is KS-HD-51?

Safe RAvg margin: R+37.2 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+34.9

2012

R+37.4

2016

R+38.3

2020

R+38.6

2024

R+34.8

Elasticity

3.8pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+36.8

Other Kansas State House Districts

124 total

Name	Margin ↓
KS-HD-46	D+70.7
KS-HD-34	D+54.6
KS-HD-10	D+54.3
KS-HD-35	D+53.4
KS-HD-44	D+51.8
KS-HD-84	D+42.2
KS-HD-32	D+40.5
KS-HD-45	D+39.9
KS-HD-25	D+36.0
KS-HD-31	D+35.9
KS-HD-21	D+32.7
KS-HD-24	D+29.0
KS-HD-19	D+26.6
KS-HD-22	D+25.3
KS-HD-66	D+24.4
KS-HD-55	D+23.4
KS-HD-58	D+23.4
KS-HD-89	D+23.2
KS-HD-23	D+21.6
KS-HD-103	D+21.5
KS-HD-29	D+21.3
KS-HD-83	D+17.8
KS-HD-108	D+17.2
KS-HD-37	D+16.6
KS-HD-92	D+16.5

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