Kentucky State House District 48
Competitive — 44K residents
Kentucky State House District 48 is a state house district that has a population of 43,653. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+2.5. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50.2% | 47.7% | D+2.5 | R+2.9 |
| 2020* | 51.8% | 46.4% | D+5.4 | D+13.9 |
| 2016* | 43.2% | 51.8% | R+8.6 | D+17.4 |
| 2012* | 37.0% | 63.0% | R+26.0 | R+6.9 |
| 2008* | 40.0% | 59.1% | R+19.1 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines KY-HD-48?
KY-HD-48 has been won by both parties in the last 5 presidential elections (2D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Similar state house districts
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Key Insights
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2016
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 31.3 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
- Margins have been narrowing — from 8.6pp to 2.5pp over the last 3 presidential elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | KY-HD-48 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 83.6% | 81.5% | 57.4% |
Asian | 5.0% | 1.6% | 6.0% |
Black / African American | 4.1% | 7.6% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 3.1% | 5.0% | 19.3% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Who lives in Kentucky State House District 48? 43,653 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in KY-HD-48
How competitive is KY-HD-48?
Other Kentucky State House Districts
99 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| KY-HD-42 | D+71.1 |
| KY-HD-43 | D+64.5 |
| KY-HD-40 | D+50.3 |
| KY-HD-41 | D+48.2 |
| KY-HD-77 | D+44.0 |
| KY-HD-30 | D+40.6 |
| KY-HD-44 | D+38.8 |
| KY-HD-34 | D+34.8 |
| KY-HD-75 | D+27.2 |
| KY-HD-79 | D+26.6 |
| KY-HD-76 | D+26.3 |
| KY-HD-32 | D+20.5 |
| KY-HD-93 | D+12.4 |
| KY-HD-46 | D+10.1 |
| KY-HD-35 | D+5.0 |
| KY-HD-31 | D+3.2 |
| KY-HD-38 | R+1.4 |
| KY-HD-57 | R+1.9 |
| KY-HD-67 | R+2.6 |
| KY-HD-45 | R+4.1 |
| KY-HD-65 | R+5.5 |
| KY-HD-88 | R+6.7 |
| KY-HD-33 | R+7.6 |
| KY-HD-20 | R+9.3 |
| KY-HD-29 | R+10.3 |