How did MD-HD-38A, Maryland vote in the 2024 presidential election?

MD-HD-38A, Maryland voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+16.0. Kamala D Harris received 9,461 votes and Donald Trump received 13,173 out of 23,147 total votes cast, a 3.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is MD-HD-38A, Maryland's political history?

MD-HD-38A, Maryland has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 8.2 points in 2016.

What are the demographics of MD-HD-38A, Maryland?

MD-HD-38A, Maryland has a population of 48,193 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 59.9% non-Hispanic white, 4.3% Hispanic, 30.6% Black.

Which places are most similar to MD-HD-38A, Maryland?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to MD-HD-38A, Maryland are South Carolina State House District 116, North Carolina State House District 5, North Carolina State House District 25. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Maryland House of Delegates District 38A

Maryland · Latest: 2024↓ R+3.0 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 3.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 48K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

South Carolina State House District 116SC

Suburban Republican 3

R+0.7

Similarity score95%

North Carolina State House District 5NC

Suburban Republican 3

R+6.7

Similarity score93%

North Carolina State House District 25NC

Suburban Republican 3

R+0.1

Similarity score93%

Virginia House of Delegates District 83VA

Suburban Republican 3

R+7.9

Similarity score92%

North Carolina State House District 23NC

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+12.5

Similarity score92%

Georgia State House District 151GA

Suburban Republican 3

R+8.3

Similarity score92%

North Carolina State House District 12NC

Suburban Republican 3

R+11.6

Similarity score91%

Virginia House of Delegates District 82VA

Suburban Republican 3

D+4.2

Similarity score91%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore MD-HD-38A's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Maryland House of Delegates District 38A voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

MD-HD-38ACensus ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 59.9%Black 30.6%Hispanic 4.3%Multiracial 3.6%Asian 1.3%Native American 0.4%

Group	MD-HD-38A	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	59.9%	46.6%	57.4%
Black / African American	30.6%	29.4%	12.2%
Hispanic / Latino	4.3%	12.5%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	3.6%	4.5%	4.0%
Asian	1.3%	6.6%	6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.4%	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Maryland House of Delegates District 38A? 48,193 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

MD-HD-38A vs Maryland vs National48K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

48K

local

48KState 6.2MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

80.4%

local

80.4%State 75.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $106,179National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 9.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 43.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 67.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 14.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 16.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 16.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 21.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 78.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in MD-HD-38A

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

59.8%

vs Previous

+1.0pp

Voting-Age Pop

38,738

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is MD-HD-38A?

Likely RAvg margin: R+13.9 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+5.9

2012

R+4.5

2016

R+12.7

2020

R+13.0

2024

R+16.0

Elasticity

11.5pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+10.4

Other Maryland State House Districts

70 total

Name	Margin ↓
MD-HD-25	D+85.1
MD-HD-43A	D+84.8
MD-HD-24	D+80.6
MD-HD-40	D+80.1
MD-HD-26	D+79.7
MD-HD-45	D+76.8
MD-HD-47A	D+74.2
MD-HD-23	D+71.5
MD-HD-20	D+71.0
MD-HD-22	D+70.5
MD-HD-41	D+65.7
MD-HD-16	D+63.7
MD-HD-47B	D+62.9
MD-HD-46	D+62.3
MD-HD-18	D+62.1
MD-HD-27A	D+60.1
MD-HD-11A	D+60.0
MD-HD-43B	D+56.8
MD-HD-10	D+55.5
MD-HD-21	D+55.3
MD-HD-44B	D+55.1
MD-HD-17	D+54.4
MD-HD-12A	D+49.9
MD-HD-13	D+49.9
MD-HD-19	D+48.2

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