How did MS-HD-45, Mississippi vote in the 2024 presidential election?

MS-HD-45, Mississippi voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+1.2. Kamala D Harris received 4,544 votes and Donald Trump received 4,437 out of 9,044 total votes cast, a 0.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is MS-HD-45, Mississippi's political history?

MS-HD-45, Mississippi has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 7.4 points in 2020.

What are the demographics of MS-HD-45, Mississippi?

MS-HD-45, Mississippi has a population of 23,077 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 35.7% non-Hispanic white, 1.4% Hispanic, 55.2% Black.

Which places are most similar to MS-HD-45, Mississippi?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to MS-HD-45, Mississippi are Georgia State House District 128, Alabama State House District 84, South Carolina State House District 62. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Mississippi State House District 45

Mississippi · Latest: 2024→ Even vs 2020

Competitive — 23K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Georgia State House District 128GA

Diverse urban democratic 2

R+4.3

Similarity score99%

Alabama State House District 84AL

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+5.3

Similarity score99%

South Carolina State House District 62SC

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+3.3

Similarity score98%

Arkansas State House District 35AR

Urban Republican

R+7.9

Similarity score98%

Alabama State House District 98AL

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+4.6

Similarity score98%

Mississippi State House District 55MS

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+26.0

Similarity score95%

Mississippi State House District 42MS

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+27.5

Similarity score93%

Delaware State House District 28DE

Urban Republican

D+16.6

Similarity score93%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore MS-HD-45's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Mississippi State House District 45 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

MS-HD-45Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Black 55.2%White (Non-Hispanic) 35.7%Native American 5.1%Multiracial 2.0%Hispanic 1.4%Asian 0.6%

Group	MS-HD-45	State	National
Black / African American	55.2%	36.4%	12.2%
White (Non-Hispanic)	35.7%	55.2%	57.4%
Native American / Alaska Native	5.1%	0.5%	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	2.0%	3.1%	4.0%
Hispanic / Latino	1.4%	3.7%	19.3%
Asian	0.6%	1.0%	6.0%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Mississippi State House District 45? 23,077 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

MS-HD-45 vs Mississippi vs National23K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

23K

local

23KState 2.9MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.1%

local

76.1%State 73.7%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $57,627National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 19.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 25.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 70.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 38.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 16.0%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 2.4%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 4.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 95.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in MS-HD-45

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

51.5%

vs Previous

-67.6pp

Voting-Age Pop

17,561

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is MS-HD-45?

Tilt DAvg margin: D+3.9 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+12.1

2012

D+15.4

2016

D+9.0

2020

D+1.6

2024

D+1.2

Elasticity

14.3pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+7.9

Other Mississippi State House Districts

121 total

Name	Margin ↓
MS-HD-69	D+86.3
MS-HD-67	D+74.8
MS-HD-65	D+73.7
MS-HD-70	D+67.0
MS-HD-71	D+60.0
MS-HD-72	D+58.2
MS-HD-32	D+55.8
MS-HD-119	D+50.0
MS-HD-51	D+48.9
MS-HD-82	D+48.2
MS-HD-103	D+47.8
MS-HD-41	D+42.2
MS-HD-47	D+40.9
MS-HD-94	D+39.4
MS-HD-26	D+37.8
MS-HD-49	D+36.7
MS-HD-110	D+36.5
MS-HD-57	D+35.1
MS-HD-66	D+32.3
MS-HD-29	D+30.9
MS-HD-50	D+30.3
MS-HD-68	D+28.7
MS-HD-31	D+28.7
MS-HD-42	D+27.5
MS-HD-55	D+26.0

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