Montana State House District 12
Safe Republican — shifted 4.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 11K residents
Montana State House District 12 is a state house district that has a population of 11,215. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+19.5. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.7% | 58.3% | R+19.5 | R+4.7 |
| 2020* | 41.4% | 56.3% | R+14.8 | D+7.2 |
| 2016* | 36.1% | 58.2% | R+22.0 | R+12.2 |
| 2012* | 43.7% | 53.5% | R+9.8 | R+6.9 |
| 2008* | 45.9% | 48.9% | R+2.9 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines MT-HD-12?
It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
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Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Turnout decreased by 67.4 percentage points since the previous presidential election
- Swung 4.7 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | MT-HD-12 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 73.1% | 83.6% | 57.4% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 14.4% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 3.7% | 4.6% | 19.3% |
Asian | 0.5% | 0.8% | 6.0% |
Black / African American | 0.3% | 0.5% | 12.2% |
Who lives in Montana State House District 12? 11,215 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in MT-HD-12
How competitive is MT-HD-12?
Other Montana State House Districts
99 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| MT-HD-91 | D+62.5 |
| MT-HD-100 | D+57.4 |
| MT-HD-95 | D+42.6 |
| MT-HD-90 | D+40.5 |
| MT-HD-62 | D+34.7 |
| MT-HD-66 | D+33.9 |
| MT-HD-16 | D+27.2 |
| MT-HD-61 | D+23.9 |
| MT-HD-99 | D+23.8 |
| MT-HD-98 | D+18.8 |
| MT-HD-89 | D+18.8 |
| MT-HD-63 | D+17.3 |
| MT-HD-74 | D+15.1 |
| MT-HD-65 | D+14.6 |
| MT-HD-05 | D+11.6 |
| MT-HD-76 | D+10.8 |
| MT-HD-79 | D+8.8 |
| MT-HD-82 | D+8.4 |
| MT-HD-32 | D+8.2 |
| MT-HD-83 | D+7.6 |
| MT-HD-47 | D+7.0 |
| MT-HD-94 | D+6.6 |
| MT-HD-81 | D+5.3 |
| MT-HD-60 | D+3.3 |
| MT-HD-15 | D+3.1 |